The Prediction Markets

What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Closes
Nov 25, 2026, in 12 days
Traded
$41K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
21 h ago
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What the markets expect

Nor'easter / Snow 94%

Next is Nvidia at 85%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 21 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Nor'easter / Snow
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nor'easter / Snow
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nvidia
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nvidia
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
China / Chinese
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
China / Chinese
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Trump (5+ times)
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trump (5+ times)
Last price
78%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Impeach / Impeachment
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Impeach / Impeachment
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hegseth
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hegseth
Last price
72%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Iran / Iranian
69%
Kalshi 69%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iran / Iranian
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bessent
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bessent
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
SNAP / Food Stamp
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
SNAP / Food Stamp
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Russia / Russian
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Russia / Russian
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kennedy
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kennedy
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justice Department / DOJ
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justice Department / DOJ
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$828
Trade this on Kalshi
Inflation
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lewandowski
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 21 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lewandowski
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 21 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ABC, Fox News, MSNBC

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Nor'easter / Snow
  • Nvidia
  • China / Chinese

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?". Nor'easter / Snow leads at 94%. Next is Nvidia at 85%. $41K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight? Odds, Platforms, and Market Data | The Prediction Markets