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What the markets expect
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security 99%
Next is Ethanol at 79%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security99%Not listed99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 41s agoNo askCybersecurity / Cyber Security99%Kalshi 99%polled, 41s ago
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security
99%
Not listed
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 41s ago
No ask
Cybersecurity / Cyber Security
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 41s ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cybersecurity / Cyber Security
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $11K
Ethanol79%Not listed79%70¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 41s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Ethanol79%Kalshi 79%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Ethanol
79%
Not listed
79%
70¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Ethanol
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ethanol
- Last price
- 79%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 70¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $2K
Bibi / Netanyahu76%Not listed76%76¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 41s ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Bibi / Netanyahu76%Kalshi 76%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Bibi / Netanyahu
76%
Not listed
76%
76¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Bibi / Netanyahu
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bibi / Netanyahu
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 76¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $1K
Rigged Election / Stolen Election76%Not listed76%74¢ bid, 79¢ askpolled, 41s ago79¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $127 (1.27x)Rigged Election / Stolen Election76%Kalshi 76%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
76%
Not listed
76%
74¢ bid, 79¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
79¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Rigged Election / Stolen Election
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rigged Election / Stolen Election
- Last price
- 76%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 79¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $127 (1.27x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cuba / Cuban59%Not listed59%52¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 41s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Cuba / Cuban59%Kalshi 59%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Cuba / Cuban
59%
Not listed
59%
52¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Cuba / Cuban
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cuba / Cuban
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $1K
Strategic / Strategy58.5%58.5%28¢ bid, 89¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed89¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $112 (1.12x)Strategic / Strategy58.5%Polymarket 58.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Strategic / Strategy
58.5%
58.5%
28¢ bid, 89¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
89¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Strategic / Strategy
58.5%
Polymarket 58.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Strategic / Strategy
- Last price
- 58.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 89¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $112 (1.12x)
- Volume
- $136
Ceasefire / Uranium45.5%45.5%21¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed70¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Ceasefire / Uranium45.5%Polymarket 45.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ceasefire / Uranium
45.5%
45.5%
21¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
70¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Ceasefire / Uranium
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ceasefire / Uranium
- Last price
- 45.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $181
Four More Years43.5%43.5%2¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed85¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Four More Years43.5%Polymarket 43.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Four More Years
43.5%
43.5%
2¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
85¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Four More Years
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Four More Years
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $150
Allah42.5%42.5%12¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Allah42.5%Polymarket 42.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Allah
42.5%
42.5%
12¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Allah
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Allah
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $158
Houthi42%Not listed42%37¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 41s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Houthi42%Kalshi 42%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Houthi
42%
Not listed
42%
37¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Houthi
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houthi
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $923
Show 22 more outcomesHide 22 outcomes
Six Seven39.5%39.5%6¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Six Seven39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Six Seven
39.5%
39.5%
6¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Six Seven
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Six Seven
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $879
Stupid Question39%Not listed39%33¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 41s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)Stupid Question39%Kalshi 39%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Stupid Question
39%
Not listed
39%
33¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Stupid Question
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stupid Question
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Autopen / Auto Pen38%Not listed38%37¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 41s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Autopen / Auto Pen38%Kalshi 38%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Autopen / Auto Pen
38%
Not listed
38%
37¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Autopen / Auto Pen
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Autopen / Auto Pen
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $815
Tomahawk36%Not listed36%35¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 41s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Tomahawk36%Kalshi 36%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Tomahawk
36%
Not listed
36%
35¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Tomahawk
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tomahawk
- Last price
- 36%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $4K
Vanilla / Ice Cream30%30%10¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Vanilla / Ice Cream30%Polymarket 30%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Vanilla / Ice Cream
30%
30%
10¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Vanilla / Ice Cream
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vanilla / Ice Cream
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $57
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome29%Not listed29%28¢ bid, 39¢ askpolled, 41s ago39¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $256 (2.56x)TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome29%Kalshi 29%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
29%
Not listed
29%
28¢ bid, 39¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
39¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $256 (2.56x)
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 39¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $256 (2.56x)
- Volume
- $702
Flying Car / Roadster26%26%2¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed50¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Flying Car / Roadster26%Polymarket 26%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Flying Car / Roadster
26%
26%
2¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
50¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Flying Car / Roadster
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Flying Car / Roadster
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $10
Ceasefire22%Not listed22%18¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 41s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Ceasefire22%Kalshi 22%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Ceasefire
22%
Not listed
22%
18¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Ceasefire
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ceasefire
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $2K
Zohran / Mamdani22%Not listed22%22¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 41s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Zohran / Mamdani22%Kalshi 22%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Zohran / Mamdani
22%
Not listed
22%
22¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Zohran / Mamdani
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zohran / Mamdani
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency18%18%11¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 41s agoNot listed25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency18%Polymarket 18%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
18%
18%
11¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
Not listed
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $991
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice14%Not listed14%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 41s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice14%Kalshi 14%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
14%
Not listed
14%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $673
Zacharia12%Not listed12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 41s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Zacharia12%Kalshi 12%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Zacharia
12%
Not listed
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Zacharia
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zacharia
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $560
Antifa9%Not listed9%9¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 41s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Antifa9%Kalshi 9%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Antifa
9%
Not listed
9%
9¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Antifa
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Antifa
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis8%Not listed8%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 41s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis8%Kalshi 8%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
8%
Not listed
8%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $950
Uranium8%Not listed8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 41s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Uranium8%Kalshi 8%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Uranium
8%
Not listed
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Uranium
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Uranium
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Crypto / Bitcoin7%Not listed7%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 41s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Crypto / Bitcoin7%Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Crypto / Bitcoin
7%
Not listed
7%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Crypto / Bitcoin
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Crypto / Bitcoin
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $11K
Golden Dome7%Not listed7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 41s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Golden Dome7%Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Golden Dome
7%
Not listed
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Golden Dome
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden Dome
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Peace in the Middle East7%Not listed7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 41s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Peace in the Middle East7%Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Peace in the Middle East
7%
Not listed
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Peace in the Middle East
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Peace in the Middle East
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Prediction Market / Predictive Market7%Not listed7%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 41s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Prediction Market / Predictive Market7%Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
7%
Not listed
7%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Prediction Market / Predictive Market
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
UFO / UAP6%Not listed6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 41s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)UFO / UAP6%Kalshi 6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
UFO / UAP
6%
Not listed
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
UFO / UAP
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UFO / UAP
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Epstein4%Not listed4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 41s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Epstein4%Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Epstein
4%
Not listed
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Epstein
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Epstein
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Make Iran Great Again4%Not listed4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 41s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Make Iran Great Again4%Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Make Iran Great Again
4%
Not listed
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 41s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Make Iran Great Again
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Make Iran Great Again
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Cybersecurity / Cyber Security
- Ethanol
- Bibi / Netanyahu
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Cybersecurity / Cyber Security for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "What will Trump say this week?". Cybersecurity / Cyber Security leads at 99%. Next is Ethanol at 79%. $116K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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