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Trading ended on Jun 18, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Cuba / Cuban99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 3035 h agoNo askCuba / Cuban99%Kalshi 99%polled, 3035 h ago
Cuba / Cuban
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 3035 h ago
No ask
Cuba / Cuban
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3035 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cuba / Cuban
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $5K
Sleepy Joe99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 3035 h agoNo askSleepy Joe99%Kalshi 99%polled, 3035 h ago
Sleepy Joe
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 3035 h ago
No ask
Sleepy Joe
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3035 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sleepy Joe
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $174K
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, 3035 h agoNo askTDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%Kalshi 99%polled, 3035 h ago
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, 3035 h ago
No ask
TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 3035 h ago
Kalshi
- Contract
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $11K
Melania28%28%24¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Melania28%Kalshi 28%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Melania
28%
28%
24¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Melania
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Melania
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $8K
Uranium21%21%17¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Uranium21%Kalshi 21%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Uranium
21%
21%
17¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Uranium
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Uranium
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $15K
50,00014%14%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)50,00014%Kalshi 14%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
50,000
14%
14%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
50,000
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- 50,000
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $3K
Juneteenth14%14%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Juneteenth14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Juneteenth
14%
14%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Juneteenth
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Juneteenth
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $23K
American Flag Blue12%12%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)American Flag Blue12%Kalshi 12%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
American Flag Blue
12%
12%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
American Flag Blue
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- American Flag Blue
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $3K
Autopen / Auto Pen12%12%11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Autopen / Auto Pen12%Kalshi 12%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Autopen / Auto Pen
12%
12%
11¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Autopen / Auto Pen
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Autopen / Auto Pen
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $5K
Drill Baby Drill10%10%10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Drill Baby Drill10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Drill Baby Drill
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Drill Baby Drill
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drill Baby Drill
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $3K
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
Newscum10%10%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Newscum10%Kalshi 10%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Newscum
10%
10%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Newscum
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Newscum
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Windmill9%9%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Windmill9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Windmill
9%
9%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Windmill
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Windmill
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Crypto / Bitcoin8%8%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Crypto / Bitcoin8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Crypto / Bitcoin
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Crypto / Bitcoin
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Crypto / Bitcoin
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $5K
Golden Dome8%8%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Golden Dome8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Golden Dome
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Golden Dome
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden Dome
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $3K
Karoline / Leavitt8%8%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Karoline / Leavitt8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Karoline / Leavitt
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Karoline / Leavitt
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karoline / Leavitt
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Stupid Question8%8%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Stupid Question8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Stupid Question
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Stupid Question
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stupid Question
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $6K
Autism5%5%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Autism5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Autism
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Autism
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Autism
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis5%5%5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
5%
5%
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $7K
UFO / UAP5%5%4¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)UFO / UAP5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
UFO / UAP
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
UFO / UAP
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UFO / UAP
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $5K
Epstein4%4%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Epstein4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Epstein
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Epstein
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Epstein
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Prediction Market / Predictive Market4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Prediction Market / Predictive Market4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Prediction Market / Predictive Market
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Prediction Market / Predictive Market
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Lego3%3%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3035 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Lego3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Lego
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3035 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Lego
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3035 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lego
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Who resolves this market
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Cuba / Cuban
- Sleepy Joe
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "What will Trump say this week?". Cuba / Cuban last traded at 99%. Next is Sleepy Joe at 99%. $840K has traded across 22 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jun 22, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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