The Prediction Markets

What will Visa say during their next earnings call?

Closes
Jan 25, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Stablecoin / Stable Coin (3+ times) 97%

Next is International (3+ times) at 92%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Stablecoin / Stable Coin (3+ times)
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stablecoin / Stable Coin (3+ times)
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Kalshi
International (3+ times)
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
International (3+ times)
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$329
Trade this on Kalshi
Blockchain
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Blockchain
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$937
Trade this on Kalshi
Tokenization
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tokenization
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$152
Trade this on Kalshi
Hyperscaler
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hyperscaler
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$431
Trade this on Kalshi
Regulation / Regulatory
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Regulation / Regulatory
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$218
Trade this on Kalshi
Holiday
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Holiday
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Kalshi
Loyalty
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Loyalty
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Inflation
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inflation
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Kalshi
M&A / Merger
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
M&A / Merger
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 4 more outcomes
Inyo
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inyo
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$19
Trade this on Kalshi
Cybersecurity
17.5%
Kalshi 17.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cybersecurity
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Trump
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trump
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rate Cap / 10% Cap
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rate Cap / 10% Cap
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Visa Inc. Investor Events

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Stablecoin / Stable Coin (3+ times)
  • International (3+ times)
  • Blockchain

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "What will Visa say during their next earnings call?". Stablecoin / Stable Coin (3+ times) leads at 97%. Next is International (3+ times) at 92%. $3K has traded across 14 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 25, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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