The Prediction Markets

When will Skims officially announce an IPO?

Closes
Jan 1, 2028, in 14 months
Traded
$19K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Before Jan 1, 2028 44%

Next is Before Dec 1, 2027 at 33%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Before Jan 1, 2028
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Jan 1, 2028
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$920
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Dec 1, 2027
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Dec 1, 2027
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Nov 1, 2027
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Nov 1, 2027
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Oct 1, 2027
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Oct 1, 2027
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Sep 1, 2027
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Sep 1, 2027
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Jul 1, 2027
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Jul 1, 2027
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$352
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Aug 1, 2027
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Aug 1, 2027
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Apr 1, 2027
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Apr 1, 2027
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Jun 1, 2027
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Jun 1, 2027
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$164
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Mar 1, 2027
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Mar 1, 2027
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$780
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Before May 1, 2027
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before May 1, 2027
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$877
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Dec 1, 2026
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Dec 1, 2026
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Feb 1, 2027
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Feb 1, 2027
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$283
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Jan 1, 2027
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Jan 1, 2027
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$948
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Nov 1, 2026
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Nov 1, 2026
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the New York Times, ABC, Bloomberg

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Before Jan 1, 2028
  • Before Dec 1, 2027
  • Before Nov 1, 2027

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "When will Skims officially announce an IPO?". Before Jan 1, 2028 leads at 44%. Next is Before Dec 1, 2027 at 33%. $19K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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