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What the markets expect
December 31 59.5%
Next is Before Dec 4, 2026 at 50%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
December 3159.5%59.5%59¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed60¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $167 (1.67x)December 3159.5%Polymarket 59.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
December 31
59.5%
59.5%
59¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
60¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
December 31
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- December 31
- Last price
- 59.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $228K
Before Dec 4, 202650%Not listed50%49¢ bid, 54¢ askpolled, 3 min ago54¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $185 (1.85x)Before Dec 4, 202650%Kalshi 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Before Dec 4, 2026
50%
Not listed
50%
49¢ bid, 54¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
54¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Before Dec 4, 2026
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Before Dec 4, 2026
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 54¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $185 (1.85x)
- Volume
- $2K
Before Nov 27, 202639%Not listed39%34¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Before Nov 27, 202639%Kalshi 39%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Before Nov 27, 2026
39%
Not listed
39%
34¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Before Nov 27, 2026
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Before Nov 27, 2026
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $3K
Before Nov 20, 202635%Not listed35%29¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 3 min ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Before Nov 20, 202635%Kalshi 35%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Before Nov 20, 2026
35%
Not listed
35%
29¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Before Nov 20, 2026
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Before Nov 20, 2026
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $2K
November 3031.5%31.5%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)November 3031.5%Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
November 30
31.5%
31.5%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
November 30
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- November 30
- Last price
- 31.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $212K
Before Nov 13, 202629%Not listed29%23¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 3 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Before Nov 13, 202629%Kalshi 29%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Before Nov 13, 2026
29%
Not listed
29%
23¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Before Nov 13, 2026
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $972
Before Nov 6, 202621%Not listed21%16¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Before Nov 6, 202621%Kalshi 21%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Before Nov 6, 2026
21%
Not listed
21%
16¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Before Nov 6, 2026
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Before Nov 6, 2026
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $4K
Anna Kelly18%18%17¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Anna Kelly18%Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Anna Kelly
18%
18%
17¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Anna Kelly
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Anna Kelly
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $59K
Scott Jennings10.5%10.5%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Scott Jennings10.5%Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Scott Jennings
10.5%
10.5%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Scott Jennings
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Scott Jennings
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $49K
Before Oct 30, 202610%Not listed10%5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Before Oct 30, 202610%Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Before Oct 30, 2026
10%
Not listed
10%
5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Before Oct 30, 2026
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Show 30 more outcomesHide 30 outcomes
Elizabeth Pipko8.3%8.3%7.6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Elizabeth Pipko8.3%Polymarket 8.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Elizabeth Pipko
8.3%
8.3%
7.6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Elizabeth Pipko
8.3%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elizabeth Pipko
- Last price
- 8.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $12K
Beni Rae Harmony4.8%4.8%2.4¢ bid, 7.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)Beni Rae Harmony4.8%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Beni Rae Harmony
4.8%
4.8%
2.4¢ bid, 7.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Beni Rae Harmony
4.8%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Beni Rae Harmony
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,389 (13.9x)
- Volume
- $960
Maria Bartiromo4.7%4.7%4.2¢ bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed5.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)Maria Bartiromo4.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Maria Bartiromo
4.7%
4.7%
4.2¢ bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
5.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Maria Bartiromo
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Maria Bartiromo
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $15K
Kayleigh McEnany4.1%4.1%1.2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Kayleigh McEnany4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kayleigh McEnany
4.1%
4.1%
1.2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kayleigh McEnany
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kayleigh McEnany
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
Katie Miller3.6%3.6%2.3¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Katie Miller3.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Katie Miller
3.6%
3.6%
2.3¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Katie Miller
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Katie Miller
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $5K
October 313.5%3.5%3.2¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)October 313.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
October 31
3.5%
3.5%
3.2¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
October 31
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- October 31
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $275K
Margo Martin3.4%3.4%3.2¢ bid, 3.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed3.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)Margo Martin3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Margo Martin
3.4%
3.4%
3.2¢ bid, 3.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
3.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Margo Martin
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Margo Martin
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,857 (28.6x)
- Volume
- $1K
Natalie Harp3.2%3.2%2.4¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Natalie Harp3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Natalie Harp
3.2%
3.2%
2.4¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Natalie Harp
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Natalie Harp
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $10K
Lauren Bis2.8%2.8%2.5¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Lauren Bis2.8%Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lauren Bis
2.8%
2.8%
2.5¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lauren Bis
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lauren Bis
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $256
Alina Habba2.7%2.7%1.4¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Alina Habba2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alina Habba
2.7%
2.7%
1.4¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alina Habba
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alina Habba
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Harrison Fields2.7%2.7%1.5¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Harrison Fields2.7%Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Harrison Fields
2.7%
2.7%
1.5¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Harrison Fields
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Harrison Fields
- Last price
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Taylor Rogers2.6%2.6%2¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Taylor Rogers2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Taylor Rogers
2.6%
2.6%
2¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Taylor Rogers
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Taylor Rogers
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $711
Katie Pavlich2.5%2.5%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Katie Pavlich2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Katie Pavlich
2.5%
2.5%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Katie Pavlich
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Katie Pavlich
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
Monica Crowley2.5%2.5%0.7¢ bid, 4.3¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)Monica Crowley2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Monica Crowley
2.5%
2.5%
0.7¢ bid, 4.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Monica Crowley
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Monica Crowley
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,326 (23.3x)
- Volume
- $637
Steven Cheung2.4%2.4%2¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Steven Cheung2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Steven Cheung
2.4%
2.4%
2¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Steven Cheung
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Steven Cheung
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Tricia McLaughlin2.4%2.4%2¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Tricia McLaughlin2.4%Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Tricia McLaughlin
2.4%
2.4%
2¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Tricia McLaughlin
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tricia McLaughlin
- Last price
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Laura Loomer2.3%2.3%0.6¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Laura Loomer2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Laura Loomer
2.3%
2.3%
0.6¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Laura Loomer
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Laura Loomer
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Lara Trump2.3%2.3%2¢ bid, 2.5¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)Lara Trump2.3%Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Lara Trump
2.3%
2.3%
2¢ bid, 2.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Lara Trump
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lara Trump
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $307
Karoline Leavitt1.9%1.9%1.6¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Karoline Leavitt1.9%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Karoline Leavitt
1.9%
1.9%
1.6¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Karoline Leavitt
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Karoline Leavitt
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $5K
Liz Huston1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 1.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)Liz Huston1.5%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Liz Huston
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 1.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Liz Huston
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liz Huston
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,263 (52.6x)
- Volume
- $444
Rachel Campos-Duffy1.2%1.2%1¢ bid, 1.4¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)Rachel Campos-Duffy1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Rachel Campos-Duffy
1.2%
1.2%
1¢ bid, 1.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Rachel Campos-Duffy
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rachel Campos-Duffy
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,143 (71.4x)
- Volume
- $398
Hogan Gidley0.9%0.9%0.7¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hogan Gidley0.9%Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hogan Gidley
0.9%
0.9%
0.7¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hogan Gidley
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hogan Gidley
- Last price
- 0.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $588
Kari Lake0.7%0.7%0.5¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Kari Lake0.7%Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kari Lake
0.7%
0.7%
0.5¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Kari Lake
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kari Lake
- Last price
- 0.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $8K
Ari Fleischer0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ari Fleischer0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ari Fleischer
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ari Fleischer
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ari Fleischer
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $258
Kaelan Dorr0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kaelan Dorr0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kaelan Dorr
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kaelan Dorr
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kaelan Dorr
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $141
Kush Desai0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kush Desai0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kush Desai
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kush Desai
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kush Desai
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $194
Spencer Pratt0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Spencer Pratt0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Spencer Pratt
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Spencer Pratt
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Spencer Pratt
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $152
Matthew Boyle0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Matthew Boyle0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Matthew Boyle
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Matthew Boyle
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matthew Boyle
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $253
Pat Adams0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Pat Adams0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Pat Adams
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Pat Adams
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pat Adams
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $266
Jake Paul0.5%0.5%— bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 1 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Jake Paul0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jake Paul
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Jake Paul
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jake Paul
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $177
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Donald Trump
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- December 31
- Before Dec 4, 2026
- Before Nov 27, 2026
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list December 31 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?". December 31 leads at 59.5%. Next is Before Dec 4, 2026 at 50%. $943K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 4, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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