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What the markets expect
Saudi Pro League 50.5%
Next is Los Angeles Galaxy at 18%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Saudi Pro League50.5%50.5%49¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed52¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Saudi Pro League50.5%Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Saudi Pro League
50.5%
50.5%
49¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
52¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Saudi Pro League
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Saudi Pro League
- Last price
- 50.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $4K
Los Angeles Galaxy18%Not listed18%16¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 1 h ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Los Angeles Galaxy18%Kalshi 18%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Los Angeles Galaxy
18%
Not listed
18%
16¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Los Angeles Galaxy
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles Galaxy
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $11K
Sporting CP15%Not listed15%6¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 1 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Sporting CP15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Sporting CP
15%
Not listed
15%
6¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Sporting CP
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sporting CP
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $3K
Inter Miami CF13%Not listed13%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Inter Miami CF13%Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Inter Miami CF
13%
Not listed
13%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Inter Miami CF
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Inter Miami CF
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $2K
Wydad Casablanca13%Not listed13%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Wydad Casablanca13%Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Wydad Casablanca
13%
Not listed
13%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Wydad Casablanca
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wydad Casablanca
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $3K
CF Monterrey12%Not listed12%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)CF Monterrey12%Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
CF Monterrey
12%
Not listed
12%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
CF Monterrey
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- CF Monterrey
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $352
Real Madrid12%Not listed12%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 1 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Real Madrid12%Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Real Madrid
12%
Not listed
12%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Real Madrid
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Real Madrid
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $4K
Galatasaray10%Not listed10%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Galatasaray10%Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Galatasaray
10%
Not listed
10%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Galatasaray
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Galatasaray
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $9
Manchester City9%Not listed9%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Manchester City9%Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Manchester City
9%
Not listed
9%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Manchester City
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Manchester City
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $1
Al-Hilal7%Not listed7%2¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Al-Hilal7%Kalshi 7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Al-Hilal
7%
Not listed
7%
2¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Al-Hilal
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Al-Hilal
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $4K
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
Brasileirao6%6%1¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Brasileirao6%Polymarket 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Brasileirao
6%
6%
1¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Brasileirao
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Brasileirao
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $243
Botafogo5.5%Not listed5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Botafogo5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Botafogo
5.5%
Not listed
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Botafogo
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Botafogo
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Liga MX5%5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Liga MX5%Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Liga MX
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Liga MX
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Liga MX
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $148
Primeira Liga5%5%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Primeira Liga5%Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Primeira Liga
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Primeira Liga
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primeira Liga
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $122
Ligue 14.5%4.5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Ligue 14.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ligue 1
4.5%
4.5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ligue 1
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ligue 1
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $108
Qatar Stars League4.4%4.4%1.1¢ bid, 7.6¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed7.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)Qatar Stars League4.4%Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Qatar Stars League
4.4%
4.4%
1.1¢ bid, 7.6¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
7.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Qatar Stars League
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Qatar Stars League
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,316 (13.2x)
- Volume
- $119
Premier League3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Premier League3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Premier League
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Premier League
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Premier League
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $118
Major League Soccer3.1%3.1%3¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed3.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Major League Soccer3.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Major League Soccer
3.1%
3.1%
3¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
3.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Major League Soccer
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Major League Soccer
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $444
Yes3.1%3.1%1.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Yes3.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Yes
3.1%
3.1%
1.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Yes
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yes
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $33K
La Liga2.6%2.6%1.1¢ bid, 4.1¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed4.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)La Liga2.6%Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
La Liga
2.6%
2.6%
1.1¢ bid, 4.1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
4.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
La Liga
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- La Liga
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,439 (24.4x)
- Volume
- $164
Serie A2.5%2.5%0.3¢ bid, 4.7¢ askpolled, 1 h agoNot listed4.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)Serie A2.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Serie A
2.5%
2.5%
0.3¢ bid, 4.7¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
Not listed
4.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Serie A
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Serie A
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,128 (21.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Paris-Saint Germain2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Paris-Saint Germain2%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Paris-Saint Germain
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Paris-Saint Germain
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Paris-Saint Germain
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Saudi Pro League
- Los Angeles Galaxy
- Sporting CP
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Saudi Pro League for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Where will Cristiano Ronaldo go next?". Saudi Pro League leads at 50.5%. Next is Los Angeles Galaxy at 18%. $69K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Sep 9, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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