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Trading ended on Oct 8, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Albuquerque1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Albuquerque1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Albuquerque
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Albuquerque
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Albuquerque
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $47K
Austin1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Austin1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austin
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austin
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10K
Chicago1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chicago1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chicago
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $8K
College Station1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)College Station1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
College Station
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
College Station
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- College Station
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Dallas1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dallas1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Denver1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Denver1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $27K
Houston1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Houston1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $70K
Las Vegas1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Las Vegas1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Las Vegas
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Las Vegas
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Las Vegas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $6K
Los Angeles1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Milwaukee1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Milwaukee1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Milwaukee
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Milwaukee
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $12K
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Minneapolis1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Minneapolis1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minneapolis
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minneapolis
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minneapolis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
New Orleans1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New Orleans1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $32K
Oklahoma City1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Oklahoma City1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oklahoma City
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Oklahoma City
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7K
Phoenix1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Phoenix1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
San Antonio1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Antonio1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Antonio
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Antonio
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $9K
San Francisco1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Francisco1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Francisco
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Seattle1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Seattle1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Seattle
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Seattle
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $23K
Springfield1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 381 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Springfield1%Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Springfield
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 381 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Springfield
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Springfield
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Weather Company
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Albuquerque
- Austin
- Chicago
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Where will it rain on Oct 7, 2026?". Albuquerque last traded at 1%. Next is Austin at 1%. $493K has traded across 18 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 8, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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