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What the markets expect
Albuquerque 94%
Next is West Palm Beach at 84%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Albuquerque94%94%87¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 29s ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Albuquerque94%Kalshi 94%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Albuquerque
94%
94%
87¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Albuquerque
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Albuquerque
- Last price
- 94%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 87¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $269
West Palm Beach84%84%81¢ bid, 84¢ askpolled, 29s ago84¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $119 (1.19x)West Palm Beach84%Kalshi 84%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
West Palm Beach
84%
84%
81¢ bid, 84¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
84¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $119 (1.19x)
West Palm Beach
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- West Palm Beach
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 84¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $119 (1.19x)
- Volume
- $628
Miami77%77%74¢ bid, 77¢ askpolled, 29s ago77¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $130 (1.30x)Miami77%Kalshi 77%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Miami
77%
77%
74¢ bid, 77¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
77¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Miami
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 77¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $130 (1.30x)
- Volume
- $434
Denver75%75%74¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 29s ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Denver75%Kalshi 75%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Denver
75%
75%
74¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Denver
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Seattle75%75%75¢ bid, 76¢ askpolled, 29s ago76¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $132 (1.32x)Seattle75%Kalshi 75%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Seattle
75%
75%
75¢ bid, 76¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
76¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Seattle
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Seattle
- Last price
- 75%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 76¢
- Sell Yes
- 75¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $132 (1.32x)
- Volume
- $2K
Minneapolis72%72%72¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 29s ago73¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Minneapolis72%Kalshi 72%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Minneapolis
72%
72%
72¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
73¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Minneapolis
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minneapolis
- Last price
- 72%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 72¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tampa28%28%18¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 29s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Tampa28%Kalshi 28%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Tampa
28%
28%
18¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Tampa
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tampa
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $495
Detroit13%13%2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 29s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Detroit13%Kalshi 13%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Detroit
13%
13%
2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Detroit
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $53
College Station9%9%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 29s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)College Station9%Kalshi 9%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
College Station
9%
9%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
College Station
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- College Station
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $30
Phoenix8%8%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 29s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Phoenix8%Kalshi 8%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Phoenix
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Phoenix
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $517
Show 25 more outcomesHide 25 outcomes
Oklahoma City6%6%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 29s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Oklahoma City6%Kalshi 6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oklahoma City
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oklahoma City
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $217
San Antonio6%6%4¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 29s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)San Antonio6%Kalshi 6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
San Antonio
6%
6%
4¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
San Antonio
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $83
Austin5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 29s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Austin5%Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Austin
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Austin
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Austin
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $107
New Orleans5%5%3¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 29s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)New Orleans5%Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New Orleans
5%
5%
3¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
New Orleans
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $67
Providence5%5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 29s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Providence5%Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Providence
5%
5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Providence
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Providence
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $26
Chicago4%4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 29s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Chicago4%Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chicago
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Chicago
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $49
Dallas4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 29s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Dallas4%Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dallas
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Dallas
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $147
Houston4%4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 29s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Houston4%Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Houston
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Houston
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $202
New York City4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 29s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)New York City4%Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
New York City
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
New York City
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York City
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $787
Newark4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 29s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Newark4%Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Newark
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Newark
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Newark
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $160
Trenton4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 29s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Trenton4%Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Trenton
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Trenton
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trenton
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $55
Atlanta3%3%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 29s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Atlanta3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Atlanta
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Atlanta
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $521
Boston3%3%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 29s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Boston3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Boston
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Boston
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Columbus3%3%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 29s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Columbus3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Columbus
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Columbus
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Columbus
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $559
Indianapolis3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 29s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Indianapolis3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Indianapolis
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Indianapolis
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indianapolis
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $418
Lexington3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 29s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Lexington3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lexington
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lexington
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lexington
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $42
Los Angeles3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 29s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Los Angeles3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Los Angeles
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Los Angeles
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $879
Philadelphia3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 29s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Philadelphia3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Philadelphia
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Philadelphia
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $351
Pittsburgh3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 29s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Pittsburgh3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Pittsburgh
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Pittsburgh
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pittsburgh
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $171
Springfield3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 29s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Springfield3%Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Springfield
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Springfield
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Springfield
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Las Vegas2%2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 29s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Las Vegas2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Las Vegas
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Las Vegas
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Las Vegas
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Milwaukee2%2%1¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 29s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Milwaukee2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Milwaukee
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Milwaukee
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $45
San Francisco2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 29s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)San Francisco2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
San Francisco
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
San Francisco
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Francisco
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
St. Louis2%2%2¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 29s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)St. Louis2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
St. Louis
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
St. Louis
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- St. Louis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $4
Washington DC2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 29s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Washington DC2%Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington DC
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 29s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington DC
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 29s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington DC
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Weather Company
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Albuquerque
- West Palm Beach
- Miami
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)?". Albuquerque leads at 94%. Next is West Palm Beach at 84%. $24K has traded across 35 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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