The Prediction Markets

Which ballot measures will pass in Louisiana?

Closes
Nov 2, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$24K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 min ago
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What the markets expect

Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption 85%

Next is Senior Property Tax Exemption Amendment at 85%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Senior Property Tax Exemption Amendment
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Senior Property Tax Exemption Amendment
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Foreign Adversary Expropriation
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Foreign Adversary Expropriation
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Post-Conviction Bail
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Post-Conviction Bail
Last price
74%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$64
Trade this on Kalshi
Senior Tax Freeze Income-Limit
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Senior Tax Freeze Income-Limit
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Gubernatorial Term Limits
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gubernatorial Term Limits
Last price
65%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
65¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi
Private Water Line Funding
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Private Water Line Funding
Last price
59%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Property Tax Millage
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Property Tax Millage
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Retirement Debt Funding
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Retirement Debt Funding
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rehabilitated Blighted Property Tax Exemption Amendment
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rehabilitated Blighted Property Tax Exemption Amendment
Last price
38%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Louisiana Secretary of State

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption
  • Senior Property Tax Exemption Amendment
  • Foreign Adversary Expropriation

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which ballot measures will pass in Louisiana?". Disabled Veteran Spouse Tax Exemption leads at 85%. Next is Senior Property Tax Exemption Amendment at 85%. $24K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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