The Prediction Markets

Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?

Closes
Nov 2, 2027, in 13 months
Traded
$4K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
2 h ago
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What the markets expect

Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment 86%

Next is Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment at 68%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment
Last price
86%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$383
Trade this on Kalshi
Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 2 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 2 h ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$518
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Wisconsin Elections Commission

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment
  • Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment
  • Prohibit Partial Veto to Increase Tax or Fee Amendment

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which ballot measures will pass in Wisconsin?". Prohibit Government Closure of Places of Worship During Emergencies Amendment leads at 86%. Next is Prohibit Government Discrimination or Preferential Treatment Amendment at 68%. $4K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 2, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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