The Prediction Markets

Which club will Gilberto Mora play for next?

Closes
Feb 2, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Atletico Madrid 26.1%

Next is PSG at 25.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Atletico Madrid 26.1%PSG 25.1%Real Madrid 12.6%Liverpool 11%Barcelona 7%6 others 18.2%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Atletico Madrid
26.1%
Polymarket 38.2%(26.1% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 73.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $136 (1.36x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atletico Madrid
Last price
38.2%
Fair, margin removed
26.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73.8¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$136 (1.36x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
PSG
25.1%
Polymarket 36.7%(25.1% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSG
Last price
36.7%
Fair, margin removed
25.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
7.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Madrid
12.6%
Polymarket 18.4%(12.6% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 31.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $319 (3.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
18.4%
Fair, margin removed
12.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31.3¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$319 (3.19x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Liverpool
11%
Polymarket 16.1%(11% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 19.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $524 (5.24x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
16.1%
Fair, margin removed
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19.1¢
Sell Yes
13.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$524 (5.24x)
Volume
$488
Trade this on Polymarket
Barcelona
7%
Polymarket 10.2%(6.9% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
10.2%
Fair, margin removed
6.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
4.1%
Polymarket 6%(4.1% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
6%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$350
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester United
4%
Polymarket 5.9%(4% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
5.9%
Fair, margin removed
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$182
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
3.3%
Polymarket 4.9%(3.3% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
4.9%
Fair, margin removed
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Polymarket
AC Milan
3.2%
Polymarket 4.7%(3.2% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
AC Milan
Last price
4.7%
Fair, margin removed
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Polymarket
Bayern Munich
3%
Polymarket 4.4%(3% fair)polled, 30s agoBest Yes 8.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,190 (11.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
4.4%
Fair, margin removed
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,190 (11.9x)
Volume
$269
Trade this on Polymarket
Manchester City
0.6%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 30s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Atletico Madrid
  • PSG
  • Real Madrid

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which club will Gilberto Mora play for next?". Atletico Madrid leads at 26.1%. Next is PSG at 25.1%. $6K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 2, 2027.

This market will resolve to the next club Gilberto Mora officially joins by February 2, 2027 at 2:00 PM ET. If Gilberto Mora does not officially join a new club by February 2, 2027 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Club Tijuana". If Gilberto Mora signs a contract that includes a delayed transfer or loan-back clause requiring him to remain at Club Tijuana for a specified period before joining another club, this market will resolve to the club he is officially contracted to join following that period. If Gilberto Mora joins a club that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Gilberto Mora is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional club by February 2, 2027 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Transfers or assignments between the current club's senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Club Tijuana and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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