The Prediction Markets

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$253K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
56 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Workhorse 15%

Next is Beyond Meat at 8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 56 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Workhorse
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Workhorse
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Beyond Meat
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beyond Meat
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Xerox
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Xerox
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lucid
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lucid
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$901
Trade this on Polymarket
JetBlue Airways
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
JetBlue Airways
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Perplexity AI
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Perplexity AI
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$57K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lovable
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lovable
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$47K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rivian
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rivian
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$638
Trade this on Polymarket
SoundHound AI
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
SoundHound AI
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
MicroStrategy
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
MicroStrategy
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 5 more outcomes
Carvana
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Carvana
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
C3.ai
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
C3.ai
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
OpenAI
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
OpenAI
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Anthropic
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 2.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,348 (43.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthropic
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
2.3¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,348 (43.5x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
JC Penney
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 56 min agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
JC Penney
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 56 min ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Workhorse
  • Beyond Meat
  • Xerox

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?". Workhorse leads at 15%. Next is Beyond Meat at 8%. $253K has traded across 15 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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