The Prediction Markets

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$18.4M
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Perplexity AI 12%

Next is Viking Therapeutics at 11.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Perplexity AI
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Perplexity AI
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$2.4M
Trade this on Polymarket
Viking Therapeutics
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking Therapeutics
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1.7M
Trade this on Polymarket
MGM Resorts
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
MGM Resorts
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$58K
Trade this on Polymarket
PayPal
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
PayPal
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$125K
Trade this on Polymarket
GitLab
7.4%
Polymarket 7.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
GitLab
Last price
7.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,282 (12.8x)
Volume
$1.2M
Trade this on Polymarket
Brown-Forman
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brown-Forman
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Zoom Video Communications
6.2%
Polymarket 6.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zoom Video Communications
Last price
6.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$432K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lovable
5.3%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lovable
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$996K
Trade this on Polymarket
Snapchat
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Snapchat
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$152K
Trade this on Polymarket
BP
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
BP
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$1.1M
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Nebius Group
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nebius Group
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$8.0M
Trade this on Polymarket
Anthropic
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anthropic
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$197K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ubisoft
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ubisoft
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$635K
Trade this on Polymarket
OpenAI
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
OpenAI
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$677K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Perplexity AI
  • Viking Therapeutics
  • MGM Resorts

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which companies will be acquired before 2027?". Perplexity AI leads at 12%. Next is Viking Therapeutics at 11.5%. $18.4M has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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