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NBCUniversal 48.1%
Next is Alphabet at 39.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.







The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
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Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "Which company will get the 2030 World Cup English-language US broadcast rights?". NBCUniversal leads at 48.1%. Next is Alphabet at 39.9%. $3K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.
This market will resolve according to the company that is officially announced as having been awarded, or as being the party who will hold, the U.S. English-language broadcast rights for the 2030 FIFA World Cup, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement from FIFA or the awarded company will qualify, regardless of whether or when the relevant rights are legally conferred. Rights awarded to a subsidiary, division, or affiliated network/platform of a listed company will count toward that listed company (e.g. rights awarded to a listed company's streaming service, cable network, or other owned outlet will count toward the parent company listed in this market). If a company listed in this market acquires another company listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the acquiring company (the new parent company). If two or more companies listed in this market merge, and the resulting entity retains or adopts the name of one of those listed companies, this market will resolve to that company. If the resulting entity uses a new or combined name that cannot be clearly attributed to any one of the listed companies, this market will resolve in favor of whichever of the merging companies’ names comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. This market will resolve according to the party announced as holding the U.S. English-language broadcast rights. If those rights are split by medium among multiple parties, this market will resolve according to the company awarded the linear television rights. If the announced deal includes no linear television rights, this market will resolve according to the company awarded the streaming rights. If the rights are awarded as part of a bundled deal covering both English- and Spanish-language broadcasts, the company or companies confirmed to hold the English-language portion will qualify, regardless of what other rights are included in the deal. If the announced deal involves multiple companies jointly holding or sharing the English-language rights for the same medium, this market will resolve in favor of whichever involved company's name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the first announced conferral of rights. This market will not consider whether rights are later conferred upon another party, or whether the first deal is later revoked, withdrawn, or is otherwise not brought into legal operation. If no rights deal has been officially announced by the specified date, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from FIFA or the awarded company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.