The Prediction Markets

Which company will get the 2030 World Cup English-language US broadcast rights?

Closes
Jan 1, 2028, in 14 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

NBCUniversal 48.1%

Next is Alphabet at 39.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
NBCUniversal
48.1%
Polymarket 48.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 95.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
NBCUniversal
Last price
48.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$93
Trade this on Polymarket
Alphabet
39.9%
Polymarket 39.9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 78.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alphabet
Last price
39.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Amazon
39.7%
Polymarket 39.7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 79.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $126 (1.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amazon
Last price
39.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$126 (1.26x)
Volume
$230
Trade this on Polymarket
Disney
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Disney
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Fox
23.6%
Polymarket 23.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 46.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $214 (2.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fox
Last price
23.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$214 (2.14x)
Volume
$185
Trade this on Polymarket
Netflix
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
Netflix
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Polymarket
Apple
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 13.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $752 (7.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Apple
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.3¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$752 (7.52x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • NBCUniversal
  • Alphabet
  • Amazon

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which company will get the 2030 World Cup English-language US broadcast rights?". NBCUniversal leads at 48.1%. Next is Alphabet at 39.9%. $3K has traded across 7 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.

This market will resolve according to the company that is officially announced as having been awarded, or as being the party who will hold, the U.S. English-language broadcast rights for the 2030 FIFA World Cup, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement from FIFA or the awarded company will qualify, regardless of whether or when the relevant rights are legally conferred. Rights awarded to a subsidiary, division, or affiliated network/platform of a listed company will count toward that listed company (e.g. rights awarded to a listed company's streaming service, cable network, or other owned outlet will count toward the parent company listed in this market). If a company listed in this market acquires another company listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the acquiring company (the new parent company). If two or more companies listed in this market merge, and the resulting entity retains or adopts the name of one of those listed companies, this market will resolve to that company. If the resulting entity uses a new or combined name that cannot be clearly attributed to any one of the listed companies, this market will resolve in favor of whichever of the merging companies’ names comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. This market will resolve according to the party announced as holding the U.S. English-language broadcast rights. If those rights are split by medium among multiple parties, this market will resolve according to the company awarded the linear television rights. If the announced deal includes no linear television rights, this market will resolve according to the company awarded the streaming rights. If the rights are awarded as part of a bundled deal covering both English- and Spanish-language broadcasts, the company or companies confirmed to hold the English-language portion will qualify, regardless of what other rights are included in the deal. If the announced deal involves multiple companies jointly holding or sharing the English-language rights for the same medium, this market will resolve in favor of whichever involved company's name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the first announced conferral of rights. This market will not consider whether rights are later conferred upon another party, or whether the first deal is later revoked, withdrawn, or is otherwise not brought into legal operation. If no rights deal has been officially announced by the specified date, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from FIFA or the awarded company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets