The Prediction Markets

Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse?

Closes
Aug 1, 2028, in 22 months
Traded
$42K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Canada 95%

Next is Sweden at 84%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Canada
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Canada
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$594
Trade this on Kalshi
Sweden
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sweden
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Greece
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Kalshi
Singapore
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Singapore
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Saudi Arabia
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Saudi Arabia
Last price
80%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$807
Trade this on Kalshi
Kenya
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenya
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Kalshi
South Africa
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
South Africa
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
12¢
Volume
$326
Trade this on Kalshi
Uganda
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uganda
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Israel
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Israel
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$411
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovakia
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Slovakia
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$644
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 36 more outcomes
Ghana
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ghana
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Puerto Rico
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Puerto Rico
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
23¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Austria
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austria
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chile
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chile
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$846
Trade this on Kalshi
Great Britain
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Great Britain
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$254
Trade this on Kalshi
Ireland
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ireland
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jamaica
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jamaica
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Kalshi
Latvia
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Latvia
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$496
Trade this on Kalshi
Mexico
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mexico
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
New Zealand
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
New Zealand
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
3¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Poland
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Poland
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$776
Trade this on Kalshi
Portugal
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Türkiye
74%
Kalshi 74%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Türkiye
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Denmark
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$520
Trade this on Kalshi
Hungary
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hungary
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$592
Trade this on Kalshi
Switzerland
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Switzerland
Last price
62%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$476
Trade this on Kalshi
Philippines
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Philippines
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
12¢
Volume
$566
Trade this on Kalshi
Australia
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Australia
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
40¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Spain
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$569
Trade this on Kalshi
China
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
China
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$863
Trade this on Kalshi
France
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
26¢
Volume
$719
Trade this on Kalshi
Japan
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Japan
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Hong Kong, China
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Hong Kong, China
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
23¢
Volume
$417
Trade this on Kalshi
Belgium
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
India
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
India
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Italy
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
10¢
Volume
$338
Trade this on Kalshi
Czechia
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$131
Trade this on Kalshi
Netherlands
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Volume
$455
Trade this on Kalshi
Côte d’Ivoire
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Côte d’Ivoire
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Germany
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Kalshi
Croatia
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$605
Trade this on Kalshi
Finland
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Finland
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$609
Trade this on Kalshi
Chinese Taipei
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Chinese Taipei
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
South Korea
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
Contract
South Korea
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$794
Trade this on Kalshi
Brazil
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 26s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brazil
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$766
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: LA28, World Lacrosse, Team USA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Canada
  • Sweden
  • Greece

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse?". Canada leads at 95%. Next is Sweden at 84%. $42K has traded across 46 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 1, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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