The Prediction Markets

Which data center ballot measures will pass?

Closes
Nov 3, 2027, in 12 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Alhambra, California Measure DB 99%

Next is El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Alhambra, California Measure DB
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Alhambra, California Measure DB
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Emporia, Kansas Question 2
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Emporia, Kansas Question 2
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Grove City, Ohio Issue 28
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Grove City, Ohio Issue 28
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
Janesville, Wisconsin GM/JATCO referendum
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Janesville, Wisconsin GM/JATCO referendum
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$752
Trade this on Kalshi
Piqua, Ohio Section 138 amendment
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Piqua, Ohio Section 138 amendment
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
94¢
Volume
$415
Trade this on Kalshi
Trenton, Ohio Issue 17
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trenton, Ohio Issue 17
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Ashville, Ohio EdgeConneX referendum
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ashville, Ohio EdgeConneX referendum
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Boulder City, Nevada Question 1
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boulder City, Nevada Question 1
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Kalshi
Joliet Township, Illinois advisory question
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 23s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joliet Township, Illinois advisory question
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rock County Clerk, Wisconsin, Butler County Board of Elections, Ohio, Lyon County Election Office, Kansas

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Alhambra, California Measure DB
  • El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance
  • Emporia, Kansas Question 2

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which data center ballot measures will pass?". Alhambra, California Measure DB leads at 99%. Next is El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance at 99%. $3K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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