The Prediction Markets

Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$3K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Yakult Brothers 54%

Next is 1w Team at 46%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Yakult Brothers
54%
Polymarket 54%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yakult Brothers
Last price
54%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
1w Team
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
1w Team
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Aurora Gaming
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aurora Gaming
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
BetBoom Team
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
BetBoom Team
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
GamerLegion
45.5%
Polymarket 45.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
GamerLegion
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Tidebound
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Tidebound
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$424
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Liquid
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Liquid
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
LGD Gaming
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
LGD Gaming
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Natus Vincere
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Natus Vincere
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$508
Trade this on Polymarket
Team Yandex
36%
Polymarket 36%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Yandex
Last price
36%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Team Spirit
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Team Spirit
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$321
Trade this on Polymarket
PARIVISION
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
PARIVISION
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Polymarket
Xtreme Gaming
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Xtreme Gaming
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$502
Trade this on Polymarket
OG
32%
Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
OG
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Yakult Brothers
  • 1w Team
  • Aurora Gaming

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027?". Yakult Brothers leads at 54%. Next is 1w Team at 46%. $3K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active Dota 2 roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page, https://liquipedia.net/dota2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, loan, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup, and any return of an inactive player to the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur within this market's timeframe, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. If the listed team disbands its Dota 2 roster within this market's timeframe, this will count as a roster change. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match or tournament will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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