The Prediction Markets

Which NFL players will be traded?

Closed
Jul 22, 2026
Traded
$1.4M
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 22, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Kayvon Thibodeaux
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kayvon Thibodeaux
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
George Pickens
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
48%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Alvin Kamara
11.6%
Polymarket 11.6%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 20.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $483 (4.83x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alvin Kamara
Last price
11.6%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
20.7¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$483 (4.83x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brian Thomas Jr.
9.2%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 16.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $595 (5.95x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Thomas Jr.
Last price
9.2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
16.8¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$595 (5.95x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jalen Carter
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jalen Carter
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
D.K. Metcalf
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
D.K. Metcalf
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$67K
Trade this on Polymarket
Trey Hendrickson
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trey Hendrickson
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
Alec Pierce
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alec Pierce
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$418K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Evans
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Evans
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$66K
Trade this on Polymarket
De'Von Achane
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
De'Von Achane
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$201K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 4 more outcomes
Breece Hall
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Breece Hall
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Polymarket
Travis Etienne
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Travis Etienne
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kyler Murray
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 1.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $9,091 (90.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kyler Murray
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$9,091 (90.9x)
Volume
$443K
Trade this on Polymarket
Trent Williams
0.7%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 3024 h agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Trent Williams
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kayvon Thibodeaux
  • George Pickens
  • Alvin Kamara

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Which NFL players will be traded?". Kayvon Thibodeaux last traded at 48.5%. Next is George Pickens at 48%. $1.4M has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jul 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NFL player is traded by July 22, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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