The Prediction Markets

Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$5K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Meteor 99.5%

Next is Demon1 at 96.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Meteor
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Meteor
Last price
99.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
99.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$775
Trade this on Polymarket
Demon1
96.1%
Polymarket 96.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
Demon1
Last price
96.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
94.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$934
Trade this on Polymarket
Sato
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sato
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
94.5¢
Sell Yes
92.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$208
Trade this on Polymarket
kiNgg
73.5%
Polymarket 73.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
kiNgg
Last price
73.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$210
Trade this on Polymarket
Jawgemo
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jawgemo
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket
Primmie
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 69¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Primmie
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Polymarket
valyn
50.1%
Polymarket 50.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 66.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $151 (1.51x)
Polymarket
Contract
valyn
Last price
50.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
66.3¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$151 (1.51x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
brawk
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
brawk
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Polymarket
Jemkin
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jemkin
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Polymarket
invy
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
invy
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Cryocells
27.5%
Polymarket 27.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cryocells
Last price
27.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Polymarket
BuZz
26.5%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
BuZz
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
trent
25.6%
Polymarket 25.6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 50.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
trent
Last price
25.6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
50.1¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$65
Trade this on Polymarket
something
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
something
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$236
Trade this on Polymarket
Skuba
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Skuba
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Polymarket
leaf
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
leaf
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$576
Trade this on Polymarket
D4v41
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
D4v41
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jinggg
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jinggg
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Asuna
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Asuna
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
f0rsaken
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
f0rsaken
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$291
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: liquipedia.net

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Meteor
  • Demon1
  • Sato

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?". Meteor leads at 99.5%. Next is Demon1 at 96.1%. $5K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count. The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution. A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count. If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all other markets