This market has closed
Trading ended on Mar 15, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 222 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Arizona100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 5343 h agoNo askArizona100%Polymarket 100%polled, 5343 h ago
- Contract
- Arizona
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $2K
Duke100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 5343 h agoNo askDuke100%Polymarket 100%polled, 5343 h ago
- Contract
- Duke
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
Michigan100%100%99.9¢ bid, — askpolled, 5343 h agoNo askMichigan100%Polymarket 100%polled, 5343 h ago
- Contract
- Michigan
- Last price
- 100%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99.9¢
- Volume
- $5K
Alabama0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Alabama0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Alabama
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $959
Arkansas0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Arkansas0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Arkansas
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $837
BYU0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)BYU0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- BYU
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
Gonzaga0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Gonzaga0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Gonzaga
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Houston0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Houston0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Illinois0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Illinois0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Illinois
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Iowa State0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Iowa State0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Iowa State
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $574
Show 10 more outcomesHide 10 outcomes
Kansas0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Kansas0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Kansas
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Louisville0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Louisville0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Louisville
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Michigan State0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Michigan State0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Michigan State
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $1K
Nebraska0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Nebraska0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Nebraska
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
North Carolina0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)North Carolina0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- North Carolina
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $2K
Purdue0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Purdue0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Purdue
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $508
Tennessee0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Tennessee0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Tennessee
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
Texas Tech0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Texas Tech0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Texas Tech
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $843
UConn0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)UConn0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- UConn
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $9K
Vanderbilt0.1%0.1%— bid, 0.1¢ askpolled, 5343 h ago0.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100,000 (1000x)Vanderbilt0.1%Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5343 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
- Contract
- Vanderbilt
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 222 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 0.1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100,000 (1000x)
- Volume
- $3K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Arizona
- Duke
- Michigan
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Which teams will be a #1 seed in NCAA Tournament?". Arizona last traded at 100%. Next is Duke at 100%. $37K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 15, 2026.
The seedings and bracket for the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament are scheduled to be selected on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team earns a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament is canceled, or the number 1 seeds are not definitively known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (ncaa.com).
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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