The Prediction Markets

Which teams will qualify to MSI 2026?

Closed
Jul 12, 2026
Traded
$70K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jul 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 159 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Bilibili Gaming
93.8%
Polymarket 93.8%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 93.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $107 (1.07x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bilibili Gaming
Last price
93.8%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
93.8¢
Sell Yes
93.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$107 (1.07x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
G2 Esports
88.5%
Polymarket 88.5%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
G2 Esports
Last price
88.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
GenG
87.1%
Polymarket 87.1%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
GenG
Last price
87.1%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
86.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
T1
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
T1
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Karmine Corp
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
Karmine Corp
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Lyon
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lyon
Last price
63%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$64
Trade this on Polymarket
LOUD
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
LOUD
Last price
37%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
JD Gaming
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
JD Gaming
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Anyone's Legend
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Anyone's Legend
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Movistar KOI
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Movistar KOI
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Weibo Gaming
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Weibo Gaming
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
BNK FEARX
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 3829 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
BNK FEARX
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 159 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Bilibili Gaming
  • G2 Esports
  • GenG

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Which teams will qualify to MSI 2026? ". Bilibili Gaming last traded at 93.8%. Next is G2 Esports at 88.5%. $70K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jul 12, 2026.

The MSI 2026 (Mid-Season Invitational) is scheduled to take place from June 26 to July 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for MSI 2026. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to MSI 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official LoL Esports rules. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of MSI 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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