The Prediction Markets

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$1.2M
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Pete Buttigieg 27%

Next is Rahm Emanuel at 20%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Pete Buttigieg
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 32.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $304 (3.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pete Buttigieg
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32.9¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$304 (3.04x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rahm Emanuel
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rahm Emanuel
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ron DeSantis
14.7%
Polymarket 14.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $645 (6.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ron DeSantis
Last price
14.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15.5¢
Sell Yes
13.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$645 (6.45x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gavin Newsom
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gavin Newsom
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$89K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$57K
Trade this on Polymarket
Phil Murphy
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 13.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phil Murphy
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.5¢
Sell Yes
10.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$741 (7.41x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mark Kelly
10.7%
Polymarket 10.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Kelly
Last price
10.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.3¢
Sell Yes
10.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$885 (8.85x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gina Raimondo
9.7%
Polymarket 9.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 10.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $990 (9.90x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gina Raimondo
Last price
9.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.1¢
Sell Yes
9.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$990 (9.90x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Raphael Warnock
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Raphael Warnock
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ted Cruz
8.7%
Polymarket 8.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ted Cruz
Last price
8.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.7¢
Sell Yes
7.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,031 (10.3x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 61 more outcomes
Andy Beshear
8.3%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Beshear
Last price
8.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.5¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,176 (11.8x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
Glenn Youngkin
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Glenn Youngkin
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
6.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kamala Harris
7.2%
Polymarket 7.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kamala Harris
Last price
7.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.3¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,370 (13.7x)
Volume
$68K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cory Booker
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cory Booker
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.5¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,333 (13.3x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Don Lemon
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Don Lemon
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
J.B. Pritzker
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.B. Pritzker
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rand Paul
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rand Paul
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Beto O’Rourke
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beto O’Rourke
Last price
6.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
J.D. Vance
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.D. Vance
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$39K
Trade this on Polymarket
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5.7%
Polymarket 5.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Last price
5.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brian Kemp
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Kemp
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Hawley
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Hawley
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nikki Haley
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nikki Haley
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
4.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Greg Abbott
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Greg Abbott
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jon Ossoff
4.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Ossoff
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
3.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
George Clooney
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Clooney
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Vivek Ramaswamy
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vivek Ramaswamy
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Shapiro
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Shapiro
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
4.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Yang
4.4%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Yang
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
3.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hunter Biden
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hunter Biden
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
3.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$58K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tucker Carlson
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tucker Carlson
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$31K
Trade this on Polymarket
Donald Trump Jr.
4.3%
Polymarket 4.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donald Trump Jr.
Last price
4.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marco Rubio
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marco Rubio
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.9¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,695 (16.9x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tom Brady
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Brady
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jon Stewart
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Stewart
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
3.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
John Fetterman
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Fetterman
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
John Thune
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Thune
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.4¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,852 (18.5x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Erika Kirk
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Erika Kirk
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gretchen Whitmer
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gretchen Whitmer
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marjorie Taylor Greene
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elise Stefanik
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elise Stefanik
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elon Musk
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elon Musk
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Zohran Mamdani
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zohran Mamdani
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
2.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Polymarket
Wes Moore
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wes Moore
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ivanka Trump
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ivanka Trump
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kristi Noem
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristi Noem
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.2¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,381 (23.8x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Donald Trump
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donald Trump
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$71K
Trade this on Polymarket
Steve Bannon
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Bannon
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
Liz Cheney
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liz Cheney
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Candace Owens
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Candace Owens
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matt Gaetz
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Gaetz
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Barack Obama
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barack Obama
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michelle Obama
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michelle Obama
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bernie Sanders
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,857 (28.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernie Sanders
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,857 (28.6x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Oprah Winfrey
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oprah Winfrey
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,632 (26.3x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
LeBron James
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
Katie Britt
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Katie Britt
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Pence
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Pence
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulsi Gabbard
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,448 (34.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulsi Gabbard
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.9¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,448 (34.5x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kim Kardashian
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kim Kardashian
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jared Polis
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Polis
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
MrBeast
1.8%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
MrBeast
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$30K
Trade this on Polymarket
Roy Cooper
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roy Cooper
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hillary Clinton
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hillary Clinton
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tim Walz
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tim Walz
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mark Cuban
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Cuban
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chelsea Clinton
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chelsea Clinton
Last price
1.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Stephen A. Smith
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stephen A. Smith
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Byron Donalds
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Byron Donalds
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Pete Buttigieg
  • Rahm Emanuel
  • Ron DeSantis

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?". Pete Buttigieg leads at 27%. Next is Rahm Emanuel at 20%. $1.2M has traded across 71 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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