The Prediction Markets

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$128K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Andy Beshear 87.7%

Next is Ted Cruz at 82.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Andy Beshear
87.7%
Polymarket 87.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 88.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $113 (1.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andy Beshear
Last price
87.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
88.4¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$113 (1.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ted Cruz
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ted Cruz
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pete Buttigieg
79.5%
Polymarket 79.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 80¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pete Buttigieg
Last price
79.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
J.D. Vance
76.8%
Polymarket 76.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 78.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.D. Vance
Last price
76.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
78.5¢
Sell Yes
75.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gavin Newsom
76.5%
Polymarket 76.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 77¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gavin Newsom
Last price
76.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
68.5%
Polymarket 68.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Last price
68.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Shapiro
67%
Polymarket 67%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Shapiro
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$896
Trade this on Polymarket
Ron DeSantis
64.5%
Polymarket 64.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ron DeSantis
Last price
64.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$563
Trade this on Polymarket
Rahm Emanuel
61%
Polymarket 61%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rahm Emanuel
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Cory Booker
59.5%
Polymarket 59.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cory Booker
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 61 more outcomes
Mark Kelly
57.5%
Polymarket 57.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Kelly
Last price
57.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$541
Trade this on Polymarket
Kamala Harris
55.5%
Polymarket 55.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kamala Harris
Last price
55.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Brian Kemp
55%
Polymarket 55%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Brian Kemp
Last price
55%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$450
Trade this on Polymarket
Andrew Yang
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Andrew Yang
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
J.B. Pritzker
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.B. Pritzker
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Wes Moore
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wes Moore
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$215
Trade this on Polymarket
Raphael Warnock
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Raphael Warnock
Last price
50%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$908
Trade this on Polymarket
Jon Ossoff
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Ossoff
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Phil Murphy
43.5%
Polymarket 43.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phil Murphy
Last price
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marco Rubio
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marco Rubio
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Rand Paul
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rand Paul
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$462
Trade this on Polymarket
Gina Raimondo
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gina Raimondo
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Katie Britt
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Katie Britt
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Jared Polis
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jared Polis
Last price
37.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Glenn Youngkin
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Glenn Youngkin
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$658
Trade this on Polymarket
Josh Hawley
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Josh Hawley
Last price
33.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hunter Biden
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hunter Biden
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Steve Bannon
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Steve Bannon
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gretchen Whitmer
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 33¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gretchen Whitmer
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$966
Trade this on Polymarket
Marjorie Taylor Greene
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Last price
26%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$492
Trade this on Polymarket
Elise Stefanik
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elise Stefanik
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Greg Abbott
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Greg Abbott
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nikki Haley
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nikki Haley
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$361
Trade this on Polymarket
Byron Donalds
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Byron Donalds
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Polymarket
Vivek Ramaswamy
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Vivek Ramaswamy
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$252
Trade this on Polymarket
Don Lemon
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Don Lemon
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Roy Cooper
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roy Cooper
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Stephen A. Smith
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stephen A. Smith
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Matt Gaetz
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matt Gaetz
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$358
Trade this on Polymarket
Tulsi Gabbard
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tulsi Gabbard
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$945
Trade this on Polymarket
Mark Cuban
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Cuban
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$325
Trade this on Polymarket
John Fetterman
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Fetterman
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Jon Stewart
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jon Stewart
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kristi Noem
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kristi Noem
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Tucker Carlson
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tucker Carlson
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
John Thune
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
John Thune
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$203
Trade this on Polymarket
Mike Pence
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mike Pence
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$670
Trade this on Polymarket
Candace Owens
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Candace Owens
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$460
Trade this on Polymarket
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$990
Trade this on Polymarket
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michelle Obama
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michelle Obama
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Liz Cheney
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liz Cheney
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Donald Trump Jr.
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donald Trump Jr.
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Elon Musk
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elon Musk
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Oprah Winfrey
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oprah Winfrey
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Polymarket
George Clooney
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $763 (7.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
George Clooney
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13.1¢
Sell Yes
11.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$763 (7.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Donald Trump
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donald Trump
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Polymarket
Kim Kardashian
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kim Kardashian
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bernie Sanders
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bernie Sanders
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Beto O’Rourke
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beto O’Rourke
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Polymarket
Tom Brady
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Brady
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
LeBron James
10.9%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $893 (8.93x)
Polymarket
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11.2¢
Sell Yes
10.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$893 (8.93x)
Volume
$277
Trade this on Polymarket
Chelsea Clinton
10.7%
Polymarket 10.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $901 (9.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chelsea Clinton
Last price
10.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11.1¢
Sell Yes
10.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$901 (9.01x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Zohran Mamdani
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zohran Mamdani
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tim Walz
8.8%
Polymarket 8.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tim Walz
Last price
8.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
7.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
MrBeast
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
MrBeast
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Ivanka Trump
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ivanka Trump
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
6.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$389
Trade this on Polymarket
Erika Kirk
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Erika Kirk
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Hillary Clinton
3.7%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hillary Clinton
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,273 (22.7x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Barack Obama
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barack Obama
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$628
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Andy Beshear
  • Ted Cruz
  • Pete Buttigieg

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?". Andy Beshear leads at 87.7%. Next is Ted Cruz at 82.5%. $128K has traded across 71 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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