The Prediction Markets

Who will attend the 2027 Big Game?

Closes
Feb 15, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Tom Brady 79%

Next is Beyoncé at 75%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Tom Brady
79%
Polymarket 79%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Brady
Last price
79%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Beyoncé
75%
Polymarket 75%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beyoncé
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kim Kardashian
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kim Kardashian
Last price
67.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Leonardo DiCaprio
56%
Polymarket 56%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Leonardo DiCaprio
Last price
56%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Livvy Dunne
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Livvy Dunne
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kendrick Lamar
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kendrick Lamar
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Mark Zuckerberg
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mark Zuckerberg
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Erika Kirk
48%
Polymarket 48%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Erika Kirk
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Rihanna
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rihanna
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Sam Altman
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sam Altman
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
J.D. Vance
47%
Polymarket 47%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
J.D. Vance
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Barron Trump
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barron Trump
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Polymarket
LeBron James
46%
Polymarket 46%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jeff Bezos
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jeff Bezos
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Elon Musk
39%
Polymarket 39%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elon Musk
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Bieber
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Bieber
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$495
Trade this on Polymarket
Gavin Newsom
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gavin Newsom
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Lionel Messi
26%
Polymarket 26%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lionel Messi
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake
25%
Polymarket 25%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$388
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Swift
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Polymarket
Donald Trump
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Donald Trump
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Shohei Ohtani
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shohei Ohtani
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kanye West
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kanye West
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Bad Bunny
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 36s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bad Bunny
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tom Brady
  • Beyoncé
  • Kim Kardashian

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will attend the 2027 Big Game?". Tom Brady leads at 79%. Next is Beyoncé at 75%. $1K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2027 Pro Football Championship, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the Pro Football Championship is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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