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What the markets expect
Ilhan Omar 50%
Next is Larry Krasner at 50%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 21 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ilhan Omar50%50%49¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 21 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Ilhan Omar50%Kalshi 50%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ilhan Omar
50%
50%
49¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Ilhan Omar
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ilhan Omar
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 49¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $319K
Larry Krasner50%50%3¢ bid, 97¢ askpolled, 21 min ago97¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $103 (1.03x)Larry Krasner50%Kalshi 50%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Larry Krasner
50%
50%
3¢ bid, 97¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
97¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Larry Krasner
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Larry Krasner
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 97¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
Cassidy Hutchinson31%31%31¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 21 min ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Cassidy Hutchinson31%Kalshi 31%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Cassidy Hutchinson
31%
31%
31¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Cassidy Hutchinson
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cassidy Hutchinson
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $12K
John Brennan23%23%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 21 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)John Brennan23%Kalshi 23%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
John Brennan
23%
23%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
John Brennan
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Brennan
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $72K
Anthony Fauci14%14%14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 21 min ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Anthony Fauci14%Kalshi 14%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Anthony Fauci
14%
14%
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Anthony Fauci
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anthony Fauci
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $519K
Dan J. Sullivan13%13%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 21 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Dan J. Sullivan13%Kalshi 13%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Dan J. Sullivan
13%
13%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Dan J. Sullivan
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dan J. Sullivan
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $5K
Fani Willis13%13%13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 21 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Fani Willis13%Kalshi 13%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fani Willis
13%
13%
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Fani Willis
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fani Willis
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $11K
Jack Smith12%12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 21 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Jack Smith12%Kalshi 12%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jack Smith
12%
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jack Smith
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jack Smith
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $76K
Gustavo Petro11%11%10¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 21 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Gustavo Petro11%Kalshi 11%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Gustavo Petro
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Gustavo Petro
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gustavo Petro
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $12K
Lisa Cook11%11%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 21 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Lisa Cook11%Kalshi 11%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Lisa Cook
11%
11%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Lisa Cook
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lisa Cook
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $33K
Show 34 more outcomesHide 34 outcomes
Letitia James10%10%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 21 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Letitia James10%Kalshi 10%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Letitia James
10%
10%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Letitia James
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Letitia James
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $68K
Peter Strzok9.9%9.9%9.9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 21 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Peter Strzok9.9%Kalshi 9.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Peter Strzok
9.9%
9.9%
9.9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Peter Strzok
9.9%
Kalshi 9.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Peter Strzok
- Last price
- 9.9%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $12K
Tim Walz9.9%9.9%9.7¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago9.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Tim Walz9.9%Kalshi 9.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Tim Walz
9.9%
9.9%
9.7¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
9.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Tim Walz
9.9%
Kalshi 9.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tim Walz
- Last price
- 9.9%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $277K
James Clapper9.7%9.7%9.1¢ bid, 9.7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago9.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)James Clapper9.7%Kalshi 9.7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
James Clapper
9.7%
9.7%
9.1¢ bid, 9.7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
9.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
James Clapper
9.7%
Kalshi 9.7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Clapper
- Last price
- 9.7%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,031 (10.3x)
- Volume
- $20K
Keith Ellison9.7%9.7%9.1¢ bid, 9.7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago9.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)Keith Ellison9.7%Kalshi 9.7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Keith Ellison
9.7%
9.7%
9.1¢ bid, 9.7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
9.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Keith Ellison
9.7%
Kalshi 9.7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,031 (10.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keith Ellison
- Last price
- 9.7%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,031 (10.3x)
- Volume
- $22K
Hunter Biden9.3%9.3%9.3¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 21 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Hunter Biden9.3%Kalshi 9.3%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Hunter Biden
9.3%
9.3%
9.3¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Hunter Biden
9.3%
Kalshi 9.3%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hunter Biden
- Last price
- 9.3%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $20K
Andrew Weissmann9%9%9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 21 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Andrew Weissmann9%Kalshi 9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Andrew Weissmann
9%
9%
9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Andrew Weissmann
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andrew Weissmann
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $4K
Gavin Newsom9%9%9¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 21 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Gavin Newsom9%Kalshi 9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Gavin Newsom
9%
9%
9¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Gavin Newsom
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gavin Newsom
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $16K
Adam Schiff8.9%8.9%8.9¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Adam Schiff8.9%Kalshi 8.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Adam Schiff
8.9%
8.9%
8.9¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Adam Schiff
8.9%
Kalshi 8.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adam Schiff
- Last price
- 8.9%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $47K
Chris Krebs8%8%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Chris Krebs8%Kalshi 8%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Chris Krebs
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Chris Krebs
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Krebs
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kimberly Guilfoyle7%7%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Kimberly Guilfoyle7%Kalshi 7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kimberly Guilfoyle
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kimberly Guilfoyle
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kimberly Guilfoyle
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $8K
Lisa Monaco7%7%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Lisa Monaco7%Kalshi 7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lisa Monaco
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Lisa Monaco
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lisa Monaco
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jacob Frey6.9%6.9%4¢ bid, 6.9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago6.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)Jacob Frey6.9%Kalshi 6.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Jacob Frey
6.9%
6.9%
4¢ bid, 6.9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
6.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Jacob Frey
6.9%
Kalshi 6.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,449 (14.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacob Frey
- Last price
- 6.9%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,449 (14.5x)
- Volume
- $13K
E. Jean Carroll6%6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)E. Jean Carroll6%Kalshi 6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
E. Jean Carroll
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
E. Jean Carroll
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- E. Jean Carroll
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $16K
Jennifer Siebel Newsom6%6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Jennifer Siebel Newsom6%Kalshi 6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Jennifer Siebel Newsom
6%
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Jennifer Siebel Newsom
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jennifer Siebel Newsom
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $11K
Mark Kelly6%6%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Mark Kelly6%Kalshi 6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Mark Kelly
6%
6%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Mark Kelly
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mark Kelly
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $19K
Mark Milley5.8%5.8%4.3¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 21 min ago5.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Mark Milley5.8%Kalshi 5.8%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Mark Milley
5.8%
5.8%
4.3¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
5.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Mark Milley
5.8%
Kalshi 5.8%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mark Milley
- Last price
- 5.8%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $9K
Liz Cheney5.5%5.5%5.5¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 21 min ago6.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Liz Cheney5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Liz Cheney
5.5%
5.5%
5.5¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
6.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Liz Cheney
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Liz Cheney
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $12K
Jerome Powell5.4%5.4%2.5¢ bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 21 min ago5.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Jerome Powell5.4%Kalshi 5.4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jerome Powell
5.4%
5.4%
2.5¢ bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
5.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jerome Powell
5.4%
Kalshi 5.4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jerome Powell
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $28K
Elissa Slotkin5.2%5.2%5.2¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago5.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Elissa Slotkin5.2%Kalshi 5.2%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Elissa Slotkin
5.2%
5.2%
5.2¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
5.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Elissa Slotkin
5.2%
Kalshi 5.2%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elissa Slotkin
- Last price
- 5.2%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $9K
George Soros5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 21 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)George Soros5%Kalshi 5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George Soros
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
George Soros
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- George Soros
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $20K
Leon Black5%5%5¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 21 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Leon Black5%Kalshi 5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Leon Black
5%
5%
5¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Leon Black
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leon Black
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $237
Christopher Wray4.8%4.8%4.8¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago4.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)Christopher Wray4.8%Kalshi 4.8%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Christopher Wray
4.8%
4.8%
4.8¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
4.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Christopher Wray
4.8%
Kalshi 4.8%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christopher Wray
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $7K
Tucker Carlson4.7%4.7%4.7¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 21 min ago4.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Tucker Carlson4.7%Kalshi 4.7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Tucker Carlson
4.7%
4.7%
4.7¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
4.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Tucker Carlson
4.7%
Kalshi 4.7%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tucker Carlson
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $13K
Barack Obama4.5%4.5%4.5¢ bid, 4.6¢ askpolled, 21 min ago4.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)Barack Obama4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Barack Obama
4.5%
4.5%
4.5¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
4.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Barack Obama
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Barack Obama
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,174 (21.7x)
- Volume
- $118K
Hillary Clinton4.4%4.4%4.3¢ bid, 4.4¢ askpolled, 21 min ago4.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)Hillary Clinton4.4%Kalshi 4.4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Hillary Clinton
4.4%
4.4%
4.3¢ bid, 4.4¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
4.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Hillary Clinton
4.4%
Kalshi 4.4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,273 (22.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hillary Clinton
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,273 (22.7x)
- Volume
- $48K
Alvin Bragg4%4%3.9¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 21 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Alvin Bragg4%Kalshi 4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alvin Bragg
4%
4%
3.9¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Alvin Bragg
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alvin Bragg
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $24K
Miles Taylor4%4%4¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Miles Taylor4%Kalshi 4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Miles Taylor
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Miles Taylor
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miles Taylor
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Reid Hoffman4%4%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 21 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Reid Hoffman4%Kalshi 4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Reid Hoffman
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Reid Hoffman
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reid Hoffman
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Chris Christie3.9%3.9%3.5¢ bid, 3.9¢ askpolled, 21 min ago3.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)Chris Christie3.9%Kalshi 3.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Chris Christie
3.9%
3.9%
3.5¢ bid, 3.9¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
3.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Chris Christie
3.9%
Kalshi 3.9%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Christie
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,564 (25.6x)
- Volume
- $6K
Bill Clinton3.6%3.6%3.6¢ bid, 3.7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago3.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)Bill Clinton3.6%Kalshi 3.6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Bill Clinton
3.6%
3.6%
3.6¢ bid, 3.7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
3.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Bill Clinton
3.6%
Kalshi 3.6%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bill Clinton
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,703 (27.0x)
- Volume
- $56K
Joe Biden3%3%3¢ bid, 3.1¢ askpolled, 21 min ago3.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)Joe Biden3%Kalshi 3%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Joe Biden
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 3.1¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
3.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Joe Biden
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Biden
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,226 (32.3x)
- Volume
- $24K
Pam Bondi2.5%2.5%2.5¢ bid, 4.5¢ askpolled, 21 min ago4.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)Pam Bondi2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Pam Bondi
2.5%
2.5%
2.5¢ bid, 4.5¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
4.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Pam Bondi
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pam Bondi
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,222 (22.2x)
- Volume
- $23K
Joe Kent2.3%2.3%2.3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 21 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Joe Kent2.3%Kalshi 2.3%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Joe Kent
2.3%
2.3%
2.3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 21 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Joe Kent
2.3%
Kalshi 2.3%polled, 21 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Kent
- Last price
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 21 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ilhan Omar
- Larry Krasner
- Cassidy Hutchinson
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?". Ilhan Omar leads at 50%. Next is Larry Krasner at 50%. $2.0M has traded across 44 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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