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What the markets expect
No Next Minister by Feb 28 38.3%
Next is Avigdor Lieberman at 17.7%. The venues differ most on Yariv Levin (Polymarket 3.7%, Kalshi 14%), a 10-point gap.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
No Next Minister by Feb 2838.3%39%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed38.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $261 (2.61x)No Next Minister by Feb 2838.3%Polymarket 37.4%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 38.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $261 (2.61x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
38.3%
39%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
38.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $261 (2.61x)
No Next Minister by Feb 28
38.3%
Polymarket 37.4%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 39%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 38.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $261 (2.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Last price
- 37.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 36.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $261 (2.61x)
- Volume
- $53K
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $33K
Polymarket
- Contract
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $44K
Avigdor Lieberman17.7%13.7%13.3¢ bid, 14.1¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed14.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $709 (7.09x)Avigdor Lieberman17.7%Polymarket 20.5%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 13.7%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 14.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $709 (7.09x)
Avigdor Lieberman
17.7%
13.7%
13.3¢ bid, 14.1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
14.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $709 (7.09x)
Avigdor Lieberman
17.7%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 13.7%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 14.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $709 (7.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 20.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 20.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $478 (4.78x)
- Volume
- $17K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Last price
- 13.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 13.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $709 (7.09x)
- Volume
- $12K
Naftali Bennett17%16%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Naftali Bennett17%Polymarket 18.2%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 16%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Naftali Bennett
17%
16%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Naftali Bennett
17%
Polymarket 18.2%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 16%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 18.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 17.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $538 (5.38x)
- Volume
- $11K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Naftali Bennett
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $12K
Yaron Zelekha10.8%10.8%10.6¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed11¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Yaron Zelekha10.8%Polymarket 10.8%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Yaron Zelekha
10.8%
10.8%
10.6¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
11¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Yaron Zelekha
10.8%
Polymarket 10.8%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yaron Zelekha
- Last price
- 10.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $7K
Yariv LevinArb8.6%3.7%1.8¢ bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 38s ago14%13¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 38s ago5.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Yariv LevinArb8.6%Polymarket 3.7%polled, 38s agoKalshi 14%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Yariv LevinArb
8.6%
3.7%
1.8¢ bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
14%
13¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
5.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Yariv LevinArb
8.6%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 38s agoKalshi 14%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yariv Levin
- Last price
- 3.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yariv Levin
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $2K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.6¢ and selling on Kalshi at 13¢ nets 740 bps before fees.
Tally GotlivArb6.9%8.6%7.3¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 38s ago2%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Tally GotlivArb6.9%Polymarket 8.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Tally GotlivArb
6.9%
8.6%
7.3¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
2%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Tally GotlivArb
6.9%
Polymarket 8.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tally Gotliv
- Last price
- 8.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tally Gotliv
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 6¢ and selling on Polymarket at 7.3¢ nets 130 bps before fees.
Gilad Kariv5.6%5.9%5.1¢ bid, 6.6¢ askpolled, 38s ago5%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Gilad Kariv5.6%Polymarket 5.9%polled, 38s agoKalshi 5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Gilad Kariv
5.6%
5.9%
5.1¢ bid, 6.6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
5%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Gilad Kariv
5.6%
Polymarket 5.9%polled, 38s agoKalshi 5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gilad Kariv
- Last price
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,515 (15.2x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gilad Kariv
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $960
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Gideon Sa'arArbPolymarket: “Gideon Sa’ar”5.6%6.5%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 38s ago3%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 38s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Gideon Sa'arArb5.6%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Gideon Sa'arArb
Polymarket: “Gideon Sa’ar”
5.6%
6.5%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
3%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Gideon Sa'arArb
5.6%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gideon Sa’ar
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gideon Sa'ar
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $900
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 5¢ and selling on Polymarket at 6¢ nets 100 bps before fees.
Ofer Winter5%5%3.2¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Ofer Winter5%Polymarket 5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Ofer Winter
5%
5%
3.2¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Ofer Winter
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ofer Winter
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $9K
Bezalel SmotrichArb4.9%10.6%1.5¢ bid, 19.6¢ askpolled, 38s ago1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 38s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Bezalel SmotrichArb4.9%Polymarket 4.2%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 10.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Bezalel SmotrichArb
4.9%
10.6%
1.5¢ bid, 19.6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Bezalel SmotrichArb
4.9%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 10.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,961 (19.6x)
- Volume
- $2K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 10.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $510 (5.10x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bezalel Smotrich
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $5K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 3¢ and selling on Polymarket at 3.2¢ nets 20 bps before fees.
Show 26 more outcomesHide 26 outcomes
Orit Farkash-HacohenArb4.9%3.9%0.6¢ bid, 7.2¢ askpolled, 38s ago10%4¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 38s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Orit Farkash-HacohenArb4.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 3.9%polled, 38s agoKalshi 10%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Orit Farkash-HacohenArb
4.9%
3.9%
0.6¢ bid, 7.2¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
10%
4¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Orit Farkash-HacohenArb
4.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 3.9%polled, 38s agoKalshi 10%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $612
Polymarket
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,389 (13.9x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orit Farkash-Hacohen
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $1K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 0.9¢ and selling on Kalshi at 4¢ nets 310 bps before fees.
Efrat Rayten4.7%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Efrat Rayten4.7%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Efrat Rayten
4.7%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Efrat Rayten
4.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Efrat Rayten
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $97
Kalshi
- Contract
- Efrat Rayten
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Israel Katz4.6%4.1%0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Israel Katz4.6%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 4.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Israel Katz
4.6%
4.1%
0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Israel Katz
4.6%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 4.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $8K
Polymarket
- Contract
- Israel Katz
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Shaul Meridor4.1%4.1%1.4¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Shaul Meridor4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Shaul Meridor
4.1%
4.1%
1.4¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Shaul Meridor
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shaul Meridor
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gadi Eizenkot3.6%0.3%0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed0.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $20,000 (200x)Gadi Eizenkot3.6%Polymarket 4.8%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 0.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Gadi Eizenkot
3.6%
0.3%
0.1¢ bid, 0.5¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
0.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Gadi Eizenkot
3.6%
Polymarket 4.8%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 0.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gadi Eizenkot
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $947
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gadi Eizenkot
- Last price
- 0.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $20,000 (200x)
- Volume
- $345
Itamar Ben Gvir3.6%3.6%1.2¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Itamar Ben Gvir3.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Itamar Ben Gvir
3.6%
3.6%
1.2¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Itamar Ben Gvir
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Itamar Ben Gvir
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $930
Yair Lapid3.2%2.5%0.4¢ bid, 4.6¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed4.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)Yair Lapid3.2%Polymarket 5.4%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Yair Lapid
3.2%
2.5%
0.4¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
4.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Yair Lapid
3.2%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,020 (10.2x)
- Volume
- $616
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Lapid
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,174 (21.7x)
- Volume
- $3K
Oded Forer3%4.2%3¢ bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 38s ago2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 38s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Oded Forer3%Polymarket 4.2%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Oded Forer
3%
4.2%
3¢ bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Oded Forer
3%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Oded Forer
- Last price
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oded Forer
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.
Amir Ohana2.8%4.2%0.6¢ bid, 7.7¢ askpolled, 38s ago3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Amir Ohana2.8%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 4.2%polled, 38s agoKalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Amir Ohana
2.8%
4.2%
0.6¢ bid, 7.7¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Amir Ohana
2.8%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 4.2%polled, 38s agoKalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $206
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,299 (13.0x)
- Volume
- $899
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amir Ohana
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $900
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Ofir Katz2.7%3.6%0.8¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 38s ago2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 38s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ofir Katz2.7%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ofir Katz
2.7%
3.6%
0.8¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ofir Katz
2.7%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ofir Katz
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $6K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ofir Katz
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.8¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Eli Cohen2.1%2.8%1¢ bid, 4.6¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Eli Cohen2.1%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 2.8%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Eli Cohen
2.1%
2.8%
1¢ bid, 4.6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Eli Cohen
2.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 2.8%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $607
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eli Cohen
- Last price
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,174 (21.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Nir Barkat2.1%2.1%0.6¢ bid, 3.6¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed3.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)Nir Barkat2.1%Polymarket 2.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Nir Barkat
2.1%
2.1%
0.6¢ bid, 3.6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
3.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Nir Barkat
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nir Barkat
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,778 (27.8x)
- Volume
- $6K
Hili Tropper1.9%4%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hili Tropper1.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 4%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hili Tropper
1.9%
4%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hili Tropper
1.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 4%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hili Tropper
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $896
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hili Tropper
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $551
Moshe Feiglin1.8%2.6%0.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Moshe Feiglin1.8%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Moshe Feiglin
1.8%
2.6%
0.2¢ bid, 4.9¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Moshe Feiglin
1.8%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moshe Feiglin
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $724
Polymarket
- Contract
- Moshe Feiglin
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $1K
Simcha Rothman1.8%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 38s ago3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s ago0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Simcha Rothman1.8%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Simcha Rothman
1.8%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Simcha Rothman
1.8%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 38s agoKalshi 3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Simcha Rothman
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $1K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Simcha Rothman
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $1K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 6¢.
Yoram Cohen1.7%1.7%1.1¢ bid, 2.2¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed2.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)Yoram Cohen1.7%Polymarket 1.7%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Yoram Cohen
1.7%
1.7%
1.1¢ bid, 2.2¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
2.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Yoram Cohen
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,545 (45.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoram Cohen
- Last price
- 1.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,545 (45.5x)
- Volume
- $611
Elazar Stern1.3%1.3%0.4¢ bid, 2.1¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed2.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)Elazar Stern1.3%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Elazar Stern
1.3%
1.3%
0.4¢ bid, 2.1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
2.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Elazar Stern
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Elazar Stern
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,762 (47.6x)
- Volume
- $1K
Chili Tropper1%Not listed1%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 38s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Chili Tropper1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chili Tropper
1%
Not listed
1%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chili Tropper
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chili Tropper
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $6K
Karine Elharrar1%Not listed1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 38s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Karine Elharrar1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Karine Elharrar
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Karine Elharrar
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karine Elharrar
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Moshe Saada1%Not listed1%— bid, 3¢ askpolled, 38s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Moshe Saada1%Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Moshe Saada
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Moshe Saada
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Moshe Saada
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Yair Golan0.9%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Yair Golan0.9%Polymarket 1%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Yair Golan
0.9%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 0.9¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Yair Golan
0.9%
Polymarket 1%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,556 (55.6x)
- Volume
- $836
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yair Golan
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $205
Ayelet Shaked0.9%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s ago1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 38s ago1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ayelet Shaked0.9%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ayelet Shaked
0.9%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ayelet Shaked
0.9%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoKalshi 1%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ayelet Shaked
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ayelet Shaked
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.
Benjamin Netanyahu0.6%0.5%0.2¢ bid, 0.7¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed0.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $14,286 (143x)Benjamin Netanyahu0.6%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
0.6%
0.5%
0.2¢ bid, 0.7¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
0.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Benjamin Netanyahu
0.6%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 38s agoPolymarket 0.5%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $472
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $14,286 (143x)
- Volume
- $395
Yoaz Hendel0.6%0.6%0.2¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Yoaz Hendel0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoaz Hendel
0.6%
0.6%
0.2¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Yoaz Hendel
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yoaz Hendel
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $162
Benny Gantz0.6%0.6%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Benny Gantz0.6%Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
0.6%
0.6%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Benny Gantz
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Benny Gantz
- Last price
- 0.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Matan Kahana0.2%0.2%0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ askpolled, 38s agoNot listed0.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $50,000 (500x)Matan Kahana0.2%Polymarket 0.2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Matan Kahana
0.2%
0.2%
0.1¢ bid, 0.2¢ ask
polled, 38s ago
Not listed
0.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Matan Kahana
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 38s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matan Kahana
- Last price
- 0.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $50,000 (500x)
- Volume
- $942
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Yariv Levin on Polymarket at 5.6¢, sell on Kalshi at 13¢ (740 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Mar 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- No Next Minister by Feb 28
- Avigdor Lieberman
- Naftali Bennett
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list No Next Minister by Feb 28 for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?". No Next Minister by Feb 28 leads at 38.3%. Next is Avigdor Lieberman at 17.7%. $321K has traded across 36 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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