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What the markets expect
Martin O’Malley 17%
Next is Faiz Shakir at 16%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Martin O’Malley17%17%9.3¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Martin O’Malley17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Martin O’Malley
17%
17%
9.3¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Martin O’Malley
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Martin O’Malley
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $85
Faiz Shakir16%16%9.2¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 1 min ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Faiz Shakir16%Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Faiz Shakir
16%
16%
9.2¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Faiz Shakir
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Faiz Shakir
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $304
David Hogg12%12%5.2¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 1 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)David Hogg12%Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
David Hogg
12%
12%
5.2¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
David Hogg
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Hogg
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $945
Rahm Emanuel8.6%8.6%1.1¢ bid, 8.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)Rahm Emanuel8.6%Kalshi 8.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Rahm Emanuel
8.6%
8.6%
1.1¢ bid, 8.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Rahm Emanuel
8.6%
Kalshi 8.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rahm Emanuel
- Last price
- 8.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,149 (11.5x)
- Volume
- $197
Nate Snyder5.9%5.9%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Nate Snyder5.9%Kalshi 5.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nate Snyder
5.9%
5.9%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Nate Snyder
5.9%
Kalshi 5.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nate Snyder
- Last price
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $43
Ro Khanna5.9%5.9%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Ro Khanna5.9%Kalshi 5.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ro Khanna
5.9%
5.9%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Ro Khanna
5.9%
Kalshi 5.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ro Khanna
- Last price
- 5.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $98
Andy Beshear5.3%5.3%2.9¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 1 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Andy Beshear5.3%Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Andy Beshear
5.3%
5.3%
2.9¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Andy Beshear
5.3%
Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Andy Beshear
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $184
Ben Wikler5.3%5.3%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Ben Wikler5.3%Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Ben Wikler
5.3%
5.3%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Ben Wikler
5.3%
Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ben Wikler
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $130
Howard Dean5.3%5.3%— bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Howard Dean5.3%Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Howard Dean
5.3%
5.3%
— bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Howard Dean
5.3%
Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Howard Dean
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $8
Jaime Harrison5.3%5.3%— bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Jaime Harrison5.3%Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jaime Harrison
5.3%
5.3%
— bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jaime Harrison
5.3%
Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaime Harrison
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $8
Show 24 more outcomesHide 24 outcomes
Jane Kleeb5.3%5.3%— bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Jane Kleeb5.3%Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jane Kleeb
5.3%
5.3%
— bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Jane Kleeb
5.3%
Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jane Kleeb
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $9
Jason Rae5.3%5.3%— bid, 5.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)Jason Rae5.3%Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Jason Rae
5.3%
5.3%
— bid, 5.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Jason Rae
5.3%
Kalshi 5.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jason Rae
- Last price
- 5.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,852 (18.5x)
- Volume
- $16
Chris Korge5%5%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Chris Korge5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Chris Korge
5%
5%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Chris Korge
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Korge
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $7
James Skoufis5%5%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)James Skoufis5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
James Skoufis
5%
5%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
James Skoufis
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- James Skoufis
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $8
Jason Paul5%5%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Jason Paul5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Jason Paul
5%
5%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Jason Paul
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jason Paul
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $10
Marianne Williamson5%5%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Marianne Williamson5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Marianne Williamson
5%
5%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Marianne Williamson
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marianne Williamson
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $8
Michael Blake5%5%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Michael Blake5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Michael Blake
5%
5%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Michael Blake
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Blake
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $7
Mitch Landrieu5%5%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Mitch Landrieu5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Mitch Landrieu
5%
5%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Mitch Landrieu
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mitch Landrieu
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $1
Pete Buttigieg5%5%— bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Pete Buttigieg5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Pete Buttigieg
5%
5%
— bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Pete Buttigieg
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pete Buttigieg
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $7
J.B. Pritzker4.8%4.8%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)J.B. Pritzker4.8%Kalshi 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
J.B. Pritzker
4.8%
4.8%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
J.B. Pritzker
4.8%
Kalshi 4.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- J.B. Pritzker
- Last price
- 4.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $52
Gretchen Whitmer4.5%4.5%— bid, 5.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)Gretchen Whitmer4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Gretchen Whitmer
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 5.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Gretchen Whitmer
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gretchen Whitmer
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,818 (18.2x)
- Volume
- $21
Amanda Litman4.4%4.4%— bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Amanda Litman4.4%Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Amanda Litman
4.4%
4.4%
— bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Amanda Litman
4.4%
Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Amanda Litman
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $41
Laphonza Butler4.4%4.4%— bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Laphonza Butler4.4%Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Laphonza Butler
4.4%
4.4%
— bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Laphonza Butler
4.4%
Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Laphonza Butler
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $27
Sherrod Brown4.4%4.4%1¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Sherrod Brown4.4%Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Sherrod Brown
4.4%
4.4%
1¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Sherrod Brown
4.4%
Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sherrod Brown
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $44
Tim Walz4.4%4.4%1¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Tim Walz4.4%Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Tim Walz
4.4%
4.4%
1¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Tim Walz
4.4%
Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tim Walz
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $41
Artie Blanco1.9%1.9%0.1¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)Artie Blanco1.9%Kalshi 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Artie Blanco
1.9%
1.9%
0.1¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Artie Blanco
1.9%
Kalshi 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Artie Blanco
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $628
Shasti Conrad1.1%1.1%0.1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Shasti Conrad1.1%Kalshi 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Shasti Conrad
1.1%
1.1%
0.1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Shasti Conrad
1.1%
Kalshi 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shasti Conrad
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $497
Jon Tester1%1%— bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Jon Tester1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Jon Tester
1%
1%
— bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Jon Tester
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jon Tester
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $43
Malcolm Kenyatta1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Malcolm Kenyatta1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Malcolm Kenyatta
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Malcolm Kenyatta
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malcolm Kenyatta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $26
Pramila Jayapal1%1%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Pramila Jayapal1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Pramila Jayapal
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Pramila Jayapal
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pramila Jayapal
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $75
Quintessa Hathaway1%1%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Quintessa Hathaway1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Quintessa Hathaway
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Quintessa Hathaway
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Quintessa Hathaway
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $82
Virginia McGregor1%1%1¢ bid, 5.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)Virginia McGregor1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Virginia McGregor
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 5.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Virginia McGregor
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Virginia McGregor
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,887 (18.9x)
- Volume
- $14
Reyna Walters-Morgan0.1%0.1%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Reyna Walters-Morgan0.1%Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Reyna Walters-Morgan
0.1%
0.1%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Reyna Walters-Morgan
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reyna Walters-Morgan
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $230
Stacey Abrams0.1%0.1%0.1¢ bid, 6.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)Stacey Abrams0.1%Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Stacey Abrams
0.1%
0.1%
0.1¢ bid, 6.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Stacey Abrams
0.1%
Kalshi 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stacey Abrams
- Last price
- 0.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,639 (16.4x)
- Volume
- $232
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Democratic Party
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Martin O’Malley
- Faiz Shakir
- David Hogg
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next DNC Chair?". Martin O’Malley leads at 17%. Next is Faiz Shakir at 16%. $4K has traded across 34 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 8, 2045.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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