The Prediction Markets

Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?

Closes
Mar 1, 2027, in 4 months
Traded
$2K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Ofir Katz 35%

Next is Yariv Levin at 34%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Ofir Katz
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ofir Katz
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Yariv Levin
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yariv Levin
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Elazar Stern
33%
Polymarket 33%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Elazar Stern
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$102
Trade this on Polymarket
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 64¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Matan Kahana
31.5%
Polymarket 31.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
Matan Kahana
Last price
31.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$132
Trade this on Polymarket
Amir Ohana
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Amir Ohana
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$174
Trade this on Polymarket
Miki Zohar
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miki Zohar
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
No speaker by Feb 28
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
No speaker by Feb 28
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Ahmad Tibi
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ahmad Tibi
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Polymarket
David Amsalem
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
David Amsalem
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 12 more outcomes
Eli Cohen
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eli Cohen
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Eitan Ginzburg
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Eitan Ginzburg
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Gilad Kariv
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gilad Kariv
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Polymarket
Mickey Levy
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mickey Levy
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Yair Lapid
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yair Lapid
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$72
Trade this on Polymarket
Hili Tropper
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Hili Tropper
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Naftali Bennett
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Naftali Bennett
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Oded Forer
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Oded Forer
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Orna Barbivai
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orna Barbivai
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Avi Dichter
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Avi Dichter
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Merav Ben Ari
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Merav Ben Ari
Last price
17.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Polymarket
Yuli Edelstein
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yuli Edelstein
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$453
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ofir Katz
  • Yariv Levin
  • Elazar Stern

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?". Ofir Katz leads at 35%. Next is Yariv Levin at 34%. $2K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 1, 2027.

Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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