The Prediction Markets

Who will Bernie endorse?

Closes
Nov 3, 2026, in 10 days
Traded
$304K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Nithya Raman 17%

Next is Charles Booker at 15%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Nithya Raman
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nithya Raman
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Charles Booker
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charles Booker
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dan Osborn
9.9%
Kalshi 9.9%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dan Osborn
Last price
9.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Turek
9.1%
Kalshi 9.1%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Turek
Last price
9.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
James Talarico
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
James Talarico
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
2.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Volume
$48K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen
6.7%
Polymarket 6.7%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 11.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $862 (8.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen
Last price
6.7%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
11.6¢
Sell Yes
1.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$862 (8.62x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen
5.8%
Polymarket 5.8%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen
Last price
5.8%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Juliana Stratton
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
Contract
Juliana Stratton
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mary Peltola
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mary Peltola
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
James Talarico - TX-Sen
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
James Talarico - TX-Sen
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
8.9¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,124 (11.2x)
Volume
$88K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Omar Fateh
4.6%
Kalshi 4.6%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Omar Fateh
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Xavier Becerra
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Xavier Becerra
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$663
Trade this on Kalshi
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Gina Hinojosa
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 56s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gina Hinojosa
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen
2%
Polymarket 2%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,226 (32.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
3.1¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,226 (32.3x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kshama Sawant - WA-09
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kshama Sawant - WA-09
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Bernie Sanders, official campaign announcements from the candidate, The New York Times

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Nithya Raman
  • Charles Booker
  • Dan Osborn

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Nithya Raman for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will Bernie endorse?". Nithya Raman leads at 17%. Next is Charles Booker at 15%. $304K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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