Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Jun 15, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
John Thune61%61%57¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)John Thune61%Kalshi 61%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
John Thune
61%
61%
57¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
John Thune
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- John Thune
- Last price
- 61%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $576
Jensen Huang56%56%51¢ bid, 56¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago56¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $179 (1.79x)Jensen Huang56%Kalshi 56%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Jensen Huang
56%
56%
51¢ bid, 56¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
56¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Jensen Huang
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jensen Huang
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 56¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $179 (1.79x)
- Volume
- $3K
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan53%53%50¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Recep Tayyip Erdoğan53%Kalshi 53%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
53%
53%
50¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Mohammed bin Salman40%40%37¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Mohammed bin Salman40%Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Mohammed bin Salman
40%
40%
37¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Mohammed bin Salman
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mohammed bin Salman
- Last price
- 40%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $12K
Ron DeSantis17%17%11¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Ron DeSantis17%Kalshi 17%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ron DeSantis
17%
17%
11¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Ron DeSantis
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ron DeSantis
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $502
María Corina Machado15%15%10¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)María Corina Machado15%Kalshi 15%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
María Corina Machado
15%
15%
10¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
María Corina Machado
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- María Corina Machado
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $214
Xi Jinping14%14%13¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Xi Jinping14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Xi Jinping
14%
14%
13¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Xi Jinping
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Xi Jinping
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $6K
Chuck Schumer8%8%3¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Chuck Schumer8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Chuck Schumer
8%
8%
3¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Chuck Schumer
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chuck Schumer
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $979
Zohran Mamdani8%8%6¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Zohran Mamdani8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Zohran Mamdani
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Zohran Mamdani
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zohran Mamdani
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Delcy Rodriguez4%4%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Delcy Rodriguez4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Delcy Rodriguez
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Delcy Rodriguez
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Delcy Rodriguez
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $143
Show 5 more outcomesHide 5 outcomes
Gavin Newsom4%4%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Gavin Newsom4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gavin Newsom
4%
4%
4¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gavin Newsom
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gavin Newsom
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $230
Hakeem Jeffries4%4%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Hakeem Jeffries4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Hakeem Jeffries
4%
4%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Hakeem Jeffries
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hakeem Jeffries
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $404
Lai Ching-te3%3%3¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Lai Ching-te3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lai Ching-te
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Lai Ching-te
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lai Ching-te
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $227
Jerome Powell1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jerome Powell1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jerome Powell
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jerome Powell
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jerome Powell
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $122
Reza Pahlavi1%1%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3029 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Reza Pahlavi1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Reza Pahlavi
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3029 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Reza Pahlavi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3029 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reza Pahlavi
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $650
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The Washington Post, official social media accounts verified by the platform, official press release distribution services
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- John Thune
- Jensen Huang
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Who will Donald Trump talk to in Jun 2026?". John Thune last traded at 61%. Next is Jensen Huang at 56%. $61K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 1, 2026.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More politics markets
See all politics markets- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.8%$1.3B traded
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance44.2%$716.0M traded
- 2028 Democratic nominee for President?Jon Ossoff15%$246.3M traded
- Netanyahu out by...?December 3141.5%$124.6M traded
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro76.7%$98.7M traded
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?J.D. Vance19%$76.4M traded