The Prediction Markets

Who will have a #1 album this year?

Closes
Dec 27, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$904K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Mariah Carey 73.9%

Next is Lil Baby at 55.1%. The venues differ most on Mariah Carey (Polymarket 96.3%, Kalshi 7%), a 89-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Mariah CareyArb
73.9%
Polymarket 96.3%polled, 34s agoKalshi 7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mariah Carey
Last price
96.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.1¢
Sell Yes
94.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Mariah Carey
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 7¢ and selling on Polymarket at 94.4¢ nets 8740 bps before fees.

Lil BabyArb
55.1%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 71%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lil Baby
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9.3¢
Sell Yes
5.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,075 (10.8x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Baby
Last price
71%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 9.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 71¢ nets 6170 bps before fees.

Dandelion - Ella Langley
48.7%
Polymarket 3%polled, 34s agoPolymarket 64%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dandelion - Ella Langley
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Dandelion (Ella Langley)
Last price
64%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
44.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$25K
Trade this on Polymarket
Post MaloneArb
39.5%
Polymarket 23%polled, 34s agoKalshi 45%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Post Malone
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Post Malone
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 27¢ and selling on Kalshi at 44¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

The Way I Am (Luke Combs)
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Way I Am (Luke Combs)
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Morgan Wallen
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Morgan Wallen
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$585
Trade this on Polymarket
SZA
23.5%
Polymarket 22%polled, 34s agoKalshi 24%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
SZA
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
SZA
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 21¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 27¢.

Beyoncé
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Beyoncé
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kendrick Lamar
21.5%
Polymarket 22%polled, 34s agoKalshi 21%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kendrick Lamar
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Kendrick Lamar
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 21¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Show 120 more outcomes
Travis Scott
19.4%
Polymarket 20%polled, 34s agoKalshi 19%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 17¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 21¢.

Tate McRae
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tate McRae
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
A$AP Rocky
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 25.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $386 (3.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
A$AP Rocky
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25.9¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$386 (3.86x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Doja Cat
17.8%
Polymarket 23%polled, 34s agoKalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doja Cat
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Doja Cat
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Lana Del Rey
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lana Del Rey
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lux - Rosalía
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lux - Rosalía
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Olivia Dean
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olivia Dean
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jack Harlow
15.4%
Polymarket 15.4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 20.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $483 (4.83x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jack Harlow
Last price
15.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20.7¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$483 (4.83x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nicki Minaj
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicki Minaj
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabrina Carpenter
12.1%
Polymarket 13%polled, 34s agoKalshi 11%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11¢.

The Weeknd
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 34s agoKalshi 12%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Weeknd
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
The Weeknd
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 12¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 14¢.

Eminem
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eminem
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lady Gaga
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lady Gaga
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lil Uzi Vert
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Uzi Vert
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Future
11.7%
Polymarket 11.7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 21.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $469 (4.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Future
Last price
11.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21.3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$469 (4.69x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Zach Bryan
11.1%
Polymarket 11.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Zach Bryan
Last price
11.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
3.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Megan Thee Stallion
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Megan Thee Stallion
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
NF
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
NF
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Kalshi
RihannaArb
10.1%
Polymarket 11.8%polled, 34s agoKalshi 9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rihanna
Last price
11.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.8¢
Sell Yes
10.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$781 (7.81x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Rihanna
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 9¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10.7¢ nets 170 bps before fees.

Doechii
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Doechii
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kanye West / Ye
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kanye West / Ye
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$35K
Trade this on Kalshi
Young Thug
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Young Thug
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Benson Boone
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Benson Boone
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$275
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Bieber
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Bieber
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler, The Creator
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tyler, The Creator
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Playboi Carti
8.3%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $806 (8.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Playboi Carti
Last price
8.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.4¢
Sell Yes
4.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$806 (8.06x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chappell Roan
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chappell Roan
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$973
Trade this on Kalshi
Dua Lipa
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dua Lipa
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Leon Thomas
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leon Thomas
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$522
Trade this on Kalshi
Lil Wayne
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Wayne
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lola Young
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lola Young
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$258
Trade this on Kalshi
sombr
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
sombr
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Frank Ocean
7.6%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 34s agoKalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Frank Ocean
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$917 (9.17x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Frank Ocean
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8¢.

Coldplay
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Coldplay
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$365
Trade this on Kalshi
PARTYNEXTDOOR
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
PARTYNEXTDOOR
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$401
Trade this on Kalshi
PinkPantheress
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
PinkPantheress
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$266
Trade this on Kalshi
Selena Gomez
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Selena Gomez
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$893
Trade this on Kalshi
The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean
6.8%
Polymarket 6.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 11.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $870 (8.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean
Last price
6.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11.5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$870 (8.70x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Polymarket
Peso Pluma
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Peso Pluma
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$444
Trade this on Polymarket
Luke Combs
6.3%
Polymarket 13%polled, 34s agoKalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luke Combs
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Luke Combs
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Big Sean
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Big Sean
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Joji
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joji
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
USHER
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
USHER
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Kalshi
Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers
5.6%
Polymarket 5.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers
Last price
5.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
21 Savage
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
21 Savage
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Calvin Harris
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Calvin Harris
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Charli xcx
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charli xcx
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$92K
Trade this on Kalshi
John Mayer
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Mayer
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
KAROL G
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
KAROL G
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lil Yachty
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Yachty
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Pharrell Williams
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pharrell Williams
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$14
Trade this on Kalshi
Shawn Mendes
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shawn Mendes
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$602
Trade this on Kalshi
Confessions II - Madonna
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Confessions II - Madonna
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
4.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Billie Eilish
4.3%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 34s agoKalshi 9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,174 (21.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Billie Eilish
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.6¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,174 (21.7x)
Volume
$42K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Billie Eilish
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.6¢.

Alex Warren
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Warren
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Anuel AA
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anuel AA
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$635
Trade this on Kalshi
Daft Punk
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daft Punk
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$617
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Timberlake
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Timberlake
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi
Kali Uchis
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kali Uchis
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$283
Trade this on Kalshi
Linkin Park
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Linkin Park
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Rauw Alejandro
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rauw Alejandro
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Marías
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Marías
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$767
Trade this on Kalshi
Trippie Redd
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trippie Redd
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$157
Trade this on Kalshi
Parker McCollum (Parker McCollum)
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Parker McCollum (Parker McCollum)
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.3¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,587 (15.9x)
Volume
$607
Trade this on Polymarket
Kanye West
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kanye West
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$866
Trade this on Polymarket
Ain't in It for My Health (Zach Top)
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,961 (19.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ain't in It for My Health (Zach Top)
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.1¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,961 (19.6x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
BLACKPINK
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
BLACKPINK
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryson Tiller
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryson Tiller
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Charlie Puth
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charlie Puth
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Childish Gambino
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Childish Gambino
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Spice
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Spice
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
J Balvin
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
J Balvin
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$998
Trade this on Kalshi
Kid Cudi
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kid Cudi
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$165
Trade this on Kalshi
Kodak Black
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kodak Black
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$90
Trade this on Kalshi
mgk
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
mgk
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$703
Trade this on Kalshi
Phoebe Bridgers
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Phoebe Bridgers
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Polo G
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Polo G
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$668
Trade this on Kalshi
Quavo
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quavo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$505
Trade this on Kalshi
Sia
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sia
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$239
Trade this on Kalshi
The Kid LAROI
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Kid LAROI
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$163
Trade this on Kalshi
YoungBoy Never Broke Again
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
YoungBoy Never Broke Again
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ed Sheeran
2.7%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 34s agoKalshi 3%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ed Sheeran
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$865
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ed Sheeran
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4.7¢.

Middle of Nowhere (Kacey Musgraves)
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Middle of Nowhere (Kacey Musgraves)
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$320
Trade this on Polymarket
2 Chainz
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
2 Chainz
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Addison Rae
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Addison Rae
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$68
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Caesar
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Caesar
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
Fall Out Boy
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fall Out Boy
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
Fred again..
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fred again..
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jason Derulo
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jason Derulo
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$151
Trade this on Kalshi
Lil Nas X
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Nas X
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$316
Trade this on Kalshi
Offset
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Offset
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$904
Trade this on Kalshi
Ozuna
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ozuna
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$436
Trade this on Kalshi
ROSALÍA
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
ROSALÍA
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Smith
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Smith
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shaboozey
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shaboozey
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Swae Lee
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Swae Lee
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,556 (55.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.8¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,556 (55.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bebe Rexha
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bebe Rexha
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$731
Trade this on Kalshi
Camilo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Camilo
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$331
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Brown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Brown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$54K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dahi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dahi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$96
Trade this on Kalshi
David Guetta
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Guetta
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Kacey Musgraves
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kacey Musgraves
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Khalid
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Khalid
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$27
Trade this on Kalshi
Lewis Capaldi
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lewis Capaldi
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$724
Trade this on Kalshi
Logic
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Logic
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Maroon 5
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maroon 5
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Migos
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Migos
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$227
Trade this on Kalshi
Roddy Ricch
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Roddy Ricch
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyga
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyga
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyla
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyla
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Victoria Monet
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Victoria Monet
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$620
Trade this on Kalshi
petal - Ariana Grande
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
petal - Ariana Grande
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
BTS
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arirang - BTS
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Iceman - Drake
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceman - Drake
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$996
Trade this on Polymarket
The Romantic - Bruno Mars
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Romantic - Bruno Mars
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
West End Girl - Lily Allen
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
West End Girl - Lily Allen
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$908
Trade this on Polymarket
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$985
Trade this on Polymarket
Octane - Don Toliver
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Octane - Don Toliver
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$679
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Mariah Carey on Kalshi at 7¢, sell on Polymarket at 94.4¢ (8740 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 27, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: billboard.com, grammy.com, cmaawards.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Billboard
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 27, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Mariah Carey
  • Lil Baby
  • Dandelion - Ella Langley

Live prices for Mariah Carey

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will have a #1 album this year?". Mariah Carey leads at 73.9%. Next is Lil Baby at 55.1%. $904K has traded across 130 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 27, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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