The Prediction Markets

Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in June?

Closed
Jun 8, 2026
Traded
$956K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 8, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Drake
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$291K
Trade this on Kalshi
Future
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Future
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kanye West / Ye
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kanye West / Ye
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Bieber
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Bieber
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Noah Kahan
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Noah Kahan
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Olivia Dean
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olivia Dean
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$103K
Trade this on Kalshi
Malcolm Todd
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malcolm Todd
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$38K
Trade this on Kalshi
Morgan Wallen
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Morgan Wallen
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
A$AP Rocky
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
A$AP Rocky
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$403
Trade this on Kalshi
HUNTR/X
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
HUNTR/X
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 37 more outcomes
Bruno Mars
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruno Mars
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
BTS
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
BTS
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Brown
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Brown
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$775
Trade this on Kalshi
Djo
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Djo
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$643
Trade this on Kalshi
Dominic Fike
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominic Fike
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$864
Trade this on Kalshi
J. Cole
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
J. Cole
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Jackson
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Jackson
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bella Kay
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bella Kay
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$402
Trade this on Kalshi
Kendrick Lamar
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kendrick Lamar
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Megan Moroney
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Megan Moroney
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Kalshi
Playboi Carti
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Playboi Carti
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$287
Trade this on Kalshi
RAYE
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
RAYE
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$828
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Scott
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Zara Larsson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zara Larsson
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
21 Savage
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
21 Savage
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Alex Warren
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Warren
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Baby Keem
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Baby Keem
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$105
Trade this on Kalshi
Central Cee
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Central Cee
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Chappell Roan
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chappell Roan
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Charli xcx
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charli xcx
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
EsDeeKid
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
EsDeeKid
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Kalshi
Fleetwood Mac
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fleetwood Mac
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$303
Trade this on Kalshi
Gracie Abrams
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gracie Abrams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Harry Styles
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Harry Styles
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Joji
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joji
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$469
Trade this on Kalshi
KATSEYE
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
KATSEYE
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lana Del Rey
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lana Del Rey
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Luke Combs
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luke Combs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Kalshi
Madonna
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Madonna
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$939
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicki Minaj
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicki Minaj
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
PinkPantheress
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
PinkPantheress
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$552
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabrina Carpenter
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
She & Him
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
She & Him
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
sombr
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
sombr
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Weeknd
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Weeknd
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Twenty One Pilots
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Twenty One Pilots
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Yeat
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3026 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yeat
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 126 d ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$681
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Spotify

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Drake
  • Future
  • Kanye West / Ye

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Who will have a #1 song on Spotify USA in June?". Drake last traded at 18%. Next is Future at 13%. $956K has traded across 47 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 1, 2026.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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