Combined depth · both venues
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Tame Impala 80.4%
Next is Dua Lipa at 73.4%. The venues differ most on Olivia Rodrigo (Polymarket 37.8%, Kalshi 8%), a 30-point gap.
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 63¢ and selling on Kalshi at 86¢ nets 2300 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 61¢ and selling on Kalshi at 78¢ nets 1700 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 50¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 55¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 48¢ and selling on Kalshi at 49¢ nets 100 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 11¢.



Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 10¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Kalshi at 4¢ and selling on Polymarket at 10¢ nets 600 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 5.3¢ and selling on Kalshi at 11¢ nets 570 bps before fees.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.


Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 4¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1.7¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 5¢.

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Tame Impala on Polymarket at 63¢, sell on Kalshi at 86¢ (2300 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
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Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "Who will headline Coachella 2027?". Tame Impala leads at 80.4%. Next is Dua Lipa at 73.4%. $460K has traded across 119 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.