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What the markets expect
JAY-Z 89%
Next is Beyoncé at 15%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
JAY-Z89%89%89¢ bid, 90¢ askpolled, 4 h ago90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)JAY-Z89%Kalshi 89%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
JAY-Z
89%
89%
89¢ bid, 90¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
JAY-Z
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- JAY-Z
- Last price
- 89%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $298K
Beyoncé15%15%12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Beyoncé15%Kalshi 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Beyoncé
15%
15%
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Beyoncé
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Beyoncé
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $12K
Miley Cyrus13%13%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Miley Cyrus13%Kalshi 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Miley Cyrus
13%
13%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Miley Cyrus
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miley Cyrus
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $216K
Harry Styles5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 4 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Harry Styles5%Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Harry Styles
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Harry Styles
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Harry Styles
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $58K
Taylor Swift5%5%4¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 4 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Taylor Swift5%Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Taylor Swift
5%
5%
4¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Taylor Swift
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Taylor Swift
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $147K
Justin Bieber4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 4 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Justin Bieber4%Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Justin Bieber
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Justin Bieber
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Bieber
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $84K
Kanye West / Ye4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 4 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Kanye West / Ye4%Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kanye West / Ye
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kanye West / Ye
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kanye West / Ye
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $127K
Rihanna4%4%3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 4 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Rihanna4%Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Rihanna
4%
4%
3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Rihanna
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rihanna
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Lady Gaga3%3%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Lady Gaga3%Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lady Gaga
3%
3%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lady Gaga
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lady Gaga
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $10K
Stevie Wonder3%3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Stevie Wonder3%Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Stevie Wonder
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Stevie Wonder
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Stevie Wonder
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $46
Show 47 more outcomesHide 47 outcomes
AC/DC2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)AC/DC2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
AC/DC
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
AC/DC
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AC/DC
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Adele2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Adele2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Adele
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Adele
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adele
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Ariana Grande2%2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Ariana Grande2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Ariana Grande
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Ariana Grande
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ariana Grande
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $13K
Backstreet Boys2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Backstreet Boys2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Backstreet Boys
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Backstreet Boys
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Backstreet Boys
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $20K
Billie Eilish2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Billie Eilish2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Billie Eilish
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Billie Eilish
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Billie Eilish
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $21K
BLACKPINK2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)BLACKPINK2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
BLACKPINK
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
BLACKPINK
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BLACKPINK
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $14K
BTS2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)BTS2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
BTS
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
BTS
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- BTS
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $28K
Cardi B2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cardi B2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cardi B
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cardi B
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cardi B
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Chappell Roan2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chappell Roan2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chappell Roan
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chappell Roan
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chappell Roan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $768
Chris Brown2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Chris Brown2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chris Brown
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Chris Brown
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Brown
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $11K
Coldplay2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Coldplay2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Coldplay
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Coldplay
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Coldplay
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $867
Cynthia Erivo2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cynthia Erivo2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cynthia Erivo
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cynthia Erivo
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cynthia Erivo
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Doja Cat2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Doja Cat2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Doja Cat
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Doja Cat
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Doja Cat
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Drake2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Drake2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Drake
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Drake
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drake
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Dua Lipa2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Dua Lipa2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dua Lipa
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dua Lipa
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dua Lipa
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $25K
Ella Langley2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ella Langley2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ella Langley
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ella Langley
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ella Langley
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $32K
Elton John2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Elton John2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Elton John
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Elton John
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elton John
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Foo Fighters2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Foo Fighters2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Foo Fighters
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Foo Fighters
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Foo Fighters
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $11K
Green Day2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Green Day2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Green Day
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Green Day
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Green Day
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $797
Guns N' Roses2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Guns N' Roses2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Guns N' Roses
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Guns N' Roses
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Guns N' Roses
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Imagine Dragons2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Imagine Dragons2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Imagine Dragons
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Imagine Dragons
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Imagine Dragons
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Karol G2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Karol G2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Karol G
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Karol G
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Karol G
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Katy Perry2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Katy Perry2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Katy Perry
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Katy Perry
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Katy Perry
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Lil Wayne2%2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 4 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Lil Wayne2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lil Wayne
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Lil Wayne
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lil Wayne
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $8K
Linkin Park2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Linkin Park2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Linkin Park
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Linkin Park
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Linkin Park
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Mariah Carey2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Mariah Carey2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Mariah Carey
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Mariah Carey
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mariah Carey
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Megan Thee Stallion2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Megan Thee Stallion2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Megan Thee Stallion
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Megan Thee Stallion
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Megan Thee Stallion
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Morgan Wallen2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Morgan Wallen2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Morgan Wallen
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Morgan Wallen
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Morgan Wallen
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $17K
Oasis2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Oasis2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oasis
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Oasis
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oasis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Outkast2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Outkast2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Outkast
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Outkast
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Outkast
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $3K
Pearl Jam2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pearl Jam2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pearl Jam
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pearl Jam
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pearl Jam
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Pink2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Pink2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pink
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Pink
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pink
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Post Malone2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Post Malone2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Post Malone
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Post Malone
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Post Malone
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $20K
SZA2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)SZA2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
SZA
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
SZA
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SZA
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
T-Pain2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)T-Pain2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
T-Pain
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
T-Pain
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- T-Pain
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Tate McRae2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tate McRae2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tate McRae
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tate McRae
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tate McRae
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $18K
Travis Scott2%2%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Travis Scott2%Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Travis Scott
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Travis Scott
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Travis Scott
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $22K
Christina Aguilera1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Christina Aguilera1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Christina Aguilera
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Christina Aguilera
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Christina Aguilera
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $517
Eagles1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Eagles1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Eagles
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Eagles
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eagles
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Ed Sheeran1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ed Sheeran1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ed Sheeran
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ed Sheeran
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ed Sheeran
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $19K
Ice Spice1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Spice1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Spice
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Spice
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Spice
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Lil Baby1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Lil Baby1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Lil Baby
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Lil Baby
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lil Baby
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Madonna1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Madonna1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Madonna
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Madonna
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Madonna
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $20K
Metallica1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Metallica1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Metallica
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Metallica
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Metallica
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $26K
Sabrina Carpenter1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Sabrina Carpenter1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sabrina Carpenter
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Sabrina Carpenter
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sabrina Carpenter
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $22K
Sexyy Red1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 4 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sexyy Red1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sexyy Red
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sexyy Red
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sexyy Red
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $11K
Tyler, The Creator1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 4 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tyler, The Creator1%Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tyler, The Creator
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 4 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tyler, The Creator
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler, The Creator
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 4 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- JAY-Z
- Beyoncé
- Miley Cyrus
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will headline the Pro Football Championship Halftime Show?". JAY-Z leads at 89%. Next is Beyoncé at 15%. $1.5M has traded across 57 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 15, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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