The Prediction Markets

Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52?

Closes
Dec 31, 2027, in 14 months
Traded
$27K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Timothée Chalamet 52%

Next is Quinta Brunson at 47%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 48 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Timothée Chalamet
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Timothée Chalamet
Last price
52%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$737
Trade this on Kalshi
Quinta Brunson
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 4 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Quinta Brunson
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$205
Trade this on Kalshi
Pedro Pascal
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pedro Pascal
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$512
Trade this on Kalshi
Jenna Ortega
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jenna Ortega
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$213
Trade this on Kalshi
Anya Taylor-Joy
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anya Taylor-Joy
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Miley Cyrus
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Miley Cyrus
Last price
30%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$352
Trade this on Kalshi
Keke Palmer
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keke Palmer
Last price
27%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$179
Trade this on Kalshi
Ryan Gosling
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ryan Gosling
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$370
Trade this on Kalshi
Paul Rudd
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Paul Rudd
Last price
24%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Glen Powell
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Glen Powell
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$133
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 38 more outcomes
Sydney Sweeney
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sydney Sweeney
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Kalshi
Olivia Rodrigo
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$69
Trade this on Kalshi
Ali Wong
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ali Wong
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Sarah Silverman
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sarah Silverman
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jennifer Lawrence
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jennifer Lawrence
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Billie Eilish
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Billie Eilish
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alex Warren
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Warren
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$368
Trade this on Kalshi
Austin Butler
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Austin Butler
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Margot Robbie
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Margot Robbie
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Kelce
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Kelce
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$717
Trade this on Kalshi
Reneé Rapp
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Reneé Rapp
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Ramy Youssef
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ramy Youssef
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Steve Carell
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Steve Carell
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
MrBeast
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
MrBeast
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$206
Trade this on Kalshi
Patrick Mahomes
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patrick Mahomes
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$141
Trade this on Kalshi
Chappell Roan
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chappell Roan
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
Donald Glover (a.k.a. Childish Gambino)
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Donald Glover (a.k.a. Childish Gambino)
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$189
Trade this on Kalshi
Noah Kahan
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Noah Kahan
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$71
Trade this on Kalshi
Gracie Abrams
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gracie Abrams
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$407
Trade this on Kalshi
Coco Gauff
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Coco Gauff
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jack Harlow
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jack Harlow
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
SZA
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
SZA
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tate McRae
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tate McRae
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Giannis Antetokounmpo
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hasan Minhaj
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hasan Minhaj
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hozier
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hozier
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Spice
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Spice
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jenna Fischer
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jenna Fischer
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
LeBron James
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
LeBron James
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Serena Williams
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Serena Williams
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Simone Biles
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Simone Biles
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Peso Pluma
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Peso Pluma
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
The Kid LAROI
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Kid LAROI
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dominic Fike
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dominic Fike
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Collier
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Collier
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
PinkPantheress
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
PinkPantheress
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Taylor Swift
1%
Kalshi 1%live, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Swift
Price
1%
As of
Live feed, 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Saturday Night Live

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Timothée Chalamet
  • Quinta Brunson
  • Pedro Pascal

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52?". Timothée Chalamet leads at 52%. Next is Quinta Brunson at 47%. $27K has traded across 48 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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