The Prediction Markets

Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?

Closes
Jan 7, 2028, in 15 months
Traded
$7K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Drake 53%

Next is Fred again.. at 53%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Drake
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Kalshi
Fred again..
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fred again..
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$104
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabrina Carpenter
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$359
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Scott
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Bruno Mars
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruno Mars
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$225
Trade this on Kalshi
Tate McRae
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tate McRae
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$197
Trade this on Kalshi
Olivia Rodrigo
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Weeknd
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Weeknd
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$70
Trade this on Kalshi
Playboi Carti
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Playboi Carti
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Kanye West (Ye)
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kanye West (Ye)
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Bad Bunny
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bad Bunny
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$591
Trade this on Kalshi
Chappell Roan
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chappell Roan
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Central Cee
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Central Cee
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Taylor Swift
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Spice
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 34s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Spice
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$118
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: MSG

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Drake
  • Fred again..
  • Sabrina Carpenter

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will perform at Madison Square Garden 2027?". Drake leads at 53%. Next is Fred again.. at 53%. $7K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 7, 2028.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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