The Prediction Markets

Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

Closes
Apr 1, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$158K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Jay Z 89.3%

Next is Drake at 13.1%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Jay Z
89.3%
Polymarket 89.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 89.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Jay Z
Last price
89.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
89.3¢
Sell Yes
89.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake
13.1%
Polymarket 13.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $741 (7.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake
Last price
13.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
13.5¢
Sell Yes
12.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$741 (7.41x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Post Malone
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Post Malone
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Miley Cyrus
10.9%
Polymarket 10.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $862 (8.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
Miley Cyrus
Last price
10.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
11.6¢
Sell Yes
10.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$862 (8.62x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dua Lipa
9.9%
Polymarket 9.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 11.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $901 (9.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dua Lipa
Last price
9.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
11.1¢
Sell Yes
8.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$901 (9.01x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Swift
8.3%
Polymarket 8.3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 15.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $654 (6.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
8.3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15.3¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$654 (6.54x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Polymarket
Justin Bieber
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Justin Bieber
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
6.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kanye West
7.1%
Polymarket 7.1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kanye West
Last price
7.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
6.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$24K
Trade this on Polymarket
Morgan Wallen
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Morgan Wallen
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
Olivia Rodrigo
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6.1¢
Sell Yes
4.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,639 (16.4x)
Volume
$22K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 3 more outcomes
Luke Combs
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Luke Combs
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabrina Carpenter
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Harry Styles
2.4%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Harry Styles
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jay Z
  • Drake
  • Post Malone

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Who will perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?". Jay Z leads at 89.3%. Next is Drake at 13.1%. $158K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual performs live and in person during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Qualifying performances include but are not limited to singing and dancing. An appearance during the event where an individual does not perform as an incorporated part of the show will not alone qualify for a "Yes" resolution. "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched to music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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