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What the markets expect
Nassourdine Imamov 79.9%
Next is Merab Dvalishvili at 50%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 6 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Nassourdine Imamov79.9%79.9%74.7¢ bid, 85.1¢ askpolled, 6 min agoNot listed85.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Nassourdine Imamov79.9%Polymarket 79.9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 85.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Nassourdine Imamov
79.9%
79.9%
74.7¢ bid, 85.1¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
Not listed
85.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Nassourdine Imamov
79.9%
Polymarket 79.9%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 85.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Nassourdine Imamov
- Last price
- 79.9%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 74.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $25K
Merab Dvalishvili50%Not listed50%9¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 52s ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Merab Dvalishvili50%Kalshi 50%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Merab Dvalishvili
50%
Not listed
50%
9¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Merab Dvalishvili
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Merab Dvalishvili
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $642
Petr Yan35%Not listed35%34¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 52s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Petr Yan35%Kalshi 35%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Petr Yan
35%
Not listed
35%
34¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Petr Yan
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Petr Yan
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $531
Payton Talbott19%Not listed19%2¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 52s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Payton Talbott19%Kalshi 19%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Payton Talbott
19%
Not listed
19%
2¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Payton Talbott
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Payton Talbott
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $425
Dricus Du Plessis10.7%10.7%10.1¢ bid, 11.3¢ askpolled, 6 min agoNot listed11.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $885 (8.85x)Dricus Du Plessis10.7%Polymarket 10.7%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Dricus Du Plessis
10.7%
10.7%
10.1¢ bid, 11.3¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
Not listed
11.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Dricus Du Plessis
10.7%
Polymarket 10.7%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 11.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $885 (8.85x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Dricus Du Plessis
- Last price
- 10.7%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $885 (8.85x)
- Volume
- $5K
Cory Sandhagen5.5%Not listed5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 52s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Cory Sandhagen5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cory Sandhagen
5.5%
Not listed
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cory Sandhagen
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cory Sandhagen
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Song Yadong5%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 52s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Song Yadong5%Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Song Yadong
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Song Yadong
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Song Yadong
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Umar Nurmagomedov5%Not listed5%1¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 52s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Umar Nurmagomedov5%Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Umar Nurmagomedov
5%
Not listed
5%
1¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Umar Nurmagomedov
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Umar Nurmagomedov
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Khamzat Chimaev4.7%4.7%2¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 6 min agoNot listed7.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)Khamzat Chimaev4.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Khamzat Chimaev
4.7%
4.7%
2¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 6 min ago
Not listed
7.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Khamzat Chimaev
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 6 min agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Khamzat Chimaev
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled 6 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $6K
Raul Rosas Jr.3.5%Not listed3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 52s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Raul Rosas Jr.3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Raul Rosas Jr.
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Raul Rosas Jr.
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Raul Rosas Jr.
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Show 12 more outcomesHide 12 outcomes
David Martinez3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 52s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)David Martinez3%Kalshi 3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
David Martinez
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
David Martinez
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- David Martinez
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Mario Bautista3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 52s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Mario Bautista3%Kalshi 3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Mario Bautista
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Mario Bautista
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mario Bautista
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Aiemann Zahabi2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 52s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Aiemann Zahabi2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Aiemann Zahabi
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Aiemann Zahabi
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aiemann Zahabi
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Deiveson Figueiredo2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 52s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Deiveson Figueiredo2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Deiveson Figueiredo
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Deiveson Figueiredo
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deiveson Figueiredo
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Kyler Phillips2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 52s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Kyler Phillips2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kyler Phillips
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kyler Phillips
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Phillips
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Marcus McGhee2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 52s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Marcus McGhee2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marcus McGhee
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marcus McGhee
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus McGhee
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Marlon Vera2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 52s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Marlon Vera2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marlon Vera
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Marlon Vera
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marlon Vera
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Montel Jackson2.5%Not listed2.5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 52s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Montel Jackson2.5%Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Montel Jackson
2.5%
Not listed
2.5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Montel Jackson
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Montel Jackson
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
Adrian Yanez2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 52s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Adrian Yanez2%Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Adrian Yanez
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Adrian Yanez
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Adrian Yanez
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Bryce Mitchell2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 52s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Bryce Mitchell2%Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Bryce Mitchell
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Bryce Mitchell
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryce Mitchell
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Charles Jourdain2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 52s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Charles Jourdain2%Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Charles Jourdain
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Charles Jourdain
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charles Jourdain
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Rob Font2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 52s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Rob Font2%Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Rob Font
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 52s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Rob Font
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 52s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rob Font
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, the Governing League
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Nassourdine Imamov
- Merab Dvalishvili
- Petr Yan
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list Nassourdine Imamov for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will Sean O'Malley fight next?". Nassourdine Imamov leads at 79.9%. Next is Merab Dvalishvili at 50%. $38K has traded across 22 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2028.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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