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What the markets expect
Eric Trump 66%
Next is Donald Trump Jr. at 63%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Eric Trump66%66%66¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 48s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Eric Trump66%Kalshi 66%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Eric Trump
66%
66%
66¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Eric Trump
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eric Trump
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $10K
Donald Trump Jr.63%63%62¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 48s ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Donald Trump Jr.63%Kalshi 63%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Donald Trump Jr.
63%
63%
62¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Donald Trump Jr.
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Donald Trump Jr.
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $21K
Jared Kushner58%58%55¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 48s ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Jared Kushner58%Kalshi 58%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Jared Kushner
58%
58%
55¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Jared Kushner
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jared Kushner
- Last price
- 58%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
- Volume
- $9K
Pete Hegseth56%56%56¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 48s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Pete Hegseth56%Kalshi 56%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Pete Hegseth
56%
56%
56¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Pete Hegseth
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pete Hegseth
- Last price
- 56%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 56¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $7K
Donald Trump55%55%51¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 48s ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Donald Trump55%Kalshi 55%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Donald Trump
55%
55%
51¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Donald Trump
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Donald Trump
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $67K
Barron Trump50%50%50¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 48s ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Barron Trump50%Kalshi 50%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Barron Trump
50%
50%
50¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Barron Trump
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Barron Trump
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $71K
Scott Bessent49%49%41¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 48s ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Scott Bessent49%Kalshi 49%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Scott Bessent
49%
49%
41¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Scott Bessent
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Scott Bessent
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $5K
Keonne Rodriguez47%47%40¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 48s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Keonne Rodriguez47%Kalshi 47%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Keonne Rodriguez
47%
47%
40¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Keonne Rodriguez
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Keonne Rodriguez
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
Susie Wiles45%45%37¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 48s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)Susie Wiles45%Kalshi 45%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Susie Wiles
45%
45%
37¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Susie Wiles
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Susie Wiles
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $3K
JD Vance44%44%39¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 48s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)JD Vance44%Kalshi 44%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
JD Vance
44%
44%
39¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
JD Vance
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- JD Vance
- Last price
- 44%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $5K
Show 42 more outcomesHide 42 outcomes
Pam Bondi43%43%35¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 48s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Pam Bondi43%Kalshi 43%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Pam Bondi
43%
43%
35¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Pam Bondi
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pam Bondi
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Todd Blanche43%43%40¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 48s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Todd Blanche43%Kalshi 43%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Todd Blanche
43%
43%
40¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Todd Blanche
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Todd Blanche
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $4K
Elizabeth Holmes42%42%34¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 48s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Elizabeth Holmes42%Kalshi 42%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Elizabeth Holmes
42%
42%
34¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Elizabeth Holmes
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elizabeth Holmes
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $1K
Elon Musk42%42%38¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 48s ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Elon Musk42%Kalshi 42%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Elon Musk
42%
42%
38¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Elon Musk
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elon Musk
- Last price
- 42%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $7K
Ghislaine Maxwell41%41%39¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 48s ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Ghislaine Maxwell41%Kalshi 41%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Ghislaine Maxwell
41%
41%
39¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Ghislaine Maxwell
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ghislaine Maxwell
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $35K
Torence Hatch39%39%39¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 48s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Torence Hatch39%Kalshi 39%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Torence Hatch
39%
39%
39¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Torence Hatch
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Torence Hatch
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $10K
Eric Adams38%38%35¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 48s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Eric Adams38%Kalshi 38%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Eric Adams
38%
38%
35¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Eric Adams
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eric Adams
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $3K
Bill Hwang35%35%35¢ bid, 43¢ askpolled, 48s ago43¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $233 (2.33x)Bill Hwang35%Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Bill Hwang
35%
35%
35¢ bid, 43¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
43¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Bill Hwang
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bill Hwang
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 43¢
- Sell Yes
- 35¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $233 (2.33x)
- Volume
- $284
Marco Rubio35%35%32¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 48s ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Marco Rubio35%Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Marco Rubio
35%
35%
32¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Marco Rubio
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marco Rubio
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $6K
Prakazrel Michel35%35%34¢ bid, 38¢ askpolled, 48s ago38¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $263 (2.63x)Prakazrel Michel35%Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Prakazrel Michel
35%
35%
34¢ bid, 38¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
38¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Prakazrel Michel
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Prakazrel Michel
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 38¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $263 (2.63x)
- Volume
- $6K
Tim Leissner35%35%29¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 48s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Tim Leissner35%Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Tim Leissner
35%
35%
29¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Tim Leissner
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tim Leissner
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $7K
Martin Shkreli33%33%24¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 48s ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Martin Shkreli33%Kalshi 33%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Martin Shkreli
33%
33%
24¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Martin Shkreli
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Martin Shkreli
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $2K
Robin Smith33%33%33¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 48s ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Robin Smith33%Kalshi 33%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Robin Smith
33%
33%
33¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Robin Smith
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Robin Smith
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $3K
Steve Bannon33%33%33¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 48s ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Steve Bannon33%Kalshi 33%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Steve Bannon
33%
33%
33¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Steve Bannon
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Steve Bannon
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
- Volume
- $9K
Julian Assange32%32%27¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 48s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Julian Assange32%Kalshi 32%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Julian Assange
32%
32%
27¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Julian Assange
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Julian Assange
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $5K
Jho Low31%31%30¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 48s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Jho Low31%Kalshi 31%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Jho Low
31%
31%
30¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Jho Low
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jho Low
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $1K
Larry Householder31%31%26¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 48s ago32¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $313 (3.13x)Larry Householder31%Kalshi 31%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Larry Householder
31%
31%
26¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
32¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Larry Householder
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Larry Householder
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $9K
Derek Chauvin30%30%22¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 48s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Derek Chauvin30%Kalshi 30%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Derek Chauvin
30%
30%
22¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Derek Chauvin
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Derek Chauvin
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $7K
Sam Bankman-Fried30%30%30¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 48s ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Sam Bankman-Fried30%Kalshi 30%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Sam Bankman-Fried
30%
30%
30¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Sam Bankman-Fried
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Bankman-Fried
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $18K
Sean Combs29%29%28¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 48s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Sean Combs29%Kalshi 29%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Sean Combs
29%
29%
28¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Sean Combs
29%
Kalshi 29%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sean Combs
- Last price
- 29%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $41K
Edward Snowden28%28%28¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 48s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Edward Snowden28%Kalshi 28%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Edward Snowden
28%
28%
28¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Edward Snowden
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Edward Snowden
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $17K
Justin Sun26%26%19¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 48s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Justin Sun26%Kalshi 26%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Justin Sun
26%
26%
19¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Justin Sun
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Sun
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $2K
Joe Giudice25%25%17¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 48s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Joe Giudice25%Kalshi 25%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Joe Giudice
25%
25%
17¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Joe Giudice
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Giudice
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $459
Kisean Anderson25%25%22¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 48s ago30¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Kisean Anderson25%Kalshi 25%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kisean Anderson
25%
25%
22¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
30¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kisean Anderson
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kisean Anderson
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Pete Rose24%24%24¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 48s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Pete Rose24%Kalshi 24%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Pete Rose
24%
24%
24¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Pete Rose
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pete Rose
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $4K
Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?24%24%18¢ bid, 26¢ askpolled, 48s ago26¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $385 (3.85x)Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?24%Kalshi 24%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
24%
24%
18¢ bid, 26¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
26¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Will Do Kwon receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 26¢
- Sell Yes
- 18¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $385 (3.85x)
- Volume
- $1K
Bob Menendez22%22%22¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 48s ago27¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Bob Menendez22%Kalshi 22%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Bob Menendez
22%
22%
22¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
27¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Bob Menendez
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bob Menendez
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $4K
Joseph Maldonado22%22%15¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 48s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Joseph Maldonado22%Kalshi 22%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Joseph Maldonado
22%
22%
15¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Joseph Maldonado
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joseph Maldonado
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $887
Matt Borges19%19%13¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 48s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Matt Borges19%Kalshi 19%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Matt Borges
19%
19%
13¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Matt Borges
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matt Borges
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tou Thao19%19%16¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 48s ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Tou Thao19%Kalshi 19%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Tou Thao
19%
19%
16¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Tou Thao
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tou Thao
- Last price
- 19%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $694
Leon Stanton17%17%9.1¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 48s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Leon Stanton17%Kalshi 17%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Leon Stanton
17%
17%
9.1¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Leon Stanton
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leon Stanton
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $2K
Brian Cole Jr.12%12%12¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 48s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Brian Cole Jr.12%Kalshi 12%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Brian Cole Jr.
12%
12%
12¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Brian Cole Jr.
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brian Cole Jr.
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $6K
Ty Garbin11%11%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 48s ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Ty Garbin11%Kalshi 11%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Ty Garbin
11%
11%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Ty Garbin
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ty Garbin
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $6K
Daniel Hale9.1%9.1%9.1¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 48s ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Daniel Hale9.1%Kalshi 9.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Daniel Hale
9.1%
9.1%
9.1¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Daniel Hale
9.1%
Kalshi 9.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Hale
- Last price
- 9.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $1K
Safaree Samuels9.1%9.1%9.1¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 48s ago18¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $556 (5.56x)Safaree Samuels9.1%Kalshi 9.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Safaree Samuels
9.1%
9.1%
9.1¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
18¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Safaree Samuels
9.1%
Kalshi 9.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Safaree Samuels
- Last price
- 9.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $1K
Roger Ver8.9%8.9%5.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ askpolled, 48s ago8.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)Roger Ver8.9%Kalshi 8.9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Roger Ver
8.9%
8.9%
5.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
8.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Roger Ver
8.9%
Kalshi 8.9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Roger Ver
- Last price
- 8.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,124 (11.2x)
- Volume
- $6K
Alex Mashinsky8.2%8.2%8.2¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 48s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Alex Mashinsky8.2%Kalshi 8.2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Alex Mashinsky
8.2%
8.2%
8.2¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Alex Mashinsky
8.2%
Kalshi 8.2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Mashinsky
- Last price
- 8.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $8K
Jeffery Williams8.1%8.1%8.1¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 48s ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Jeffery Williams8.1%Kalshi 8.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jeffery Williams
8.1%
8.1%
8.1¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Jeffery Williams
8.1%
Kalshi 8.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jeffery Williams
- Last price
- 8.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $1K
Sebastian Telfair5.4%5.4%5.4¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 48s ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Sebastian Telfair5.4%Kalshi 5.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Sebastian Telfair
5.4%
5.4%
5.4¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Sebastian Telfair
5.4%
Kalshi 5.4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sebastian Telfair
- Last price
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $400
DeAndre Way5.1%5.1%4.1¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 48s ago8.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)DeAndre Way5.1%Kalshi 5.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
DeAndre Way
5.1%
5.1%
4.1¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
8.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
DeAndre Way
5.1%
Kalshi 5.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- DeAndre Way
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $1K
Jose Muyet5.1%5.1%5.1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 48s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Jose Muyet5.1%Kalshi 5.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Jose Muyet
5.1%
5.1%
5.1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Jose Muyet
5.1%
Kalshi 5.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jose Muyet
- Last price
- 5.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Hunter Biden1.6%1.6%1.6¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 48s ago8.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Hunter Biden1.6%Kalshi 1.6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Hunter Biden
1.6%
1.6%
1.6¢ bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 48s ago
8.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Hunter Biden
1.6%
Kalshi 1.6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hunter Biden
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: White House, New York Times
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Eric Trump
- Donald Trump Jr.
- Jared Kushner
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Who will Trump pardon?". Eric Trump leads at 66%. Next is Donald Trump Jr. at 63%. $448K has traded across 52 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 21, 2029.
Kalshi event status: open
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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