This market has closed
Trading ended on Apr 16, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 196 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
MINHxDYNASTY16.7%14.5%16.7% fair14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago15¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $667 (6.67x)MINHxDYNASTY16.7%Polymarket 14.5%(16.7% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
- Contract
- MINHxDYNASTY
- Last price
- 14.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 16.7%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $11K
Prodzy15.6%13.5%15.6% fair11¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago16¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Prodzy15.6%Polymarket 13.5%(15.6% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
- Contract
- Prodzy
- Last price
- 13.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 15.6%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $6K
Jim Parillo13.8%12%13.8% fair11¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago13¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Jim Parillo13.8%Polymarket 12%(13.8% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
- Contract
- Jim Parillo
- Last price
- 12%
- Fair, margin removed
- 13.8%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $6K
Madz13.8%12%13.8% fair10¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago14¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Madz13.8%Polymarket 12%(13.8% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
- Contract
- Madz
- Last price
- 12%
- Fair, margin removed
- 13.8%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jadoodoo13.3%11.5%13.3% fair11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Jadoodoo13.3%Polymarket 11.5%(13.3% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
- Contract
- Jadoodoo
- Last price
- 11.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 13.3%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $12K
Kurt10%8.7%10% fair8.2¢ bid, 9.2¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago9.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)Kurt10%Polymarket 8.7%(10% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 9.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,087 (10.9x)
- Contract
- Kurt
- Last price
- 8.7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 8.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,087 (10.9x)
- Volume
- $3K
Elisa8.7%7.5%8.7% fair3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago12¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Elisa8.7%Polymarket 7.5%(8.7% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
- Contract
- Elisa
- Last price
- 7.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.7%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $6K
Trevor8.1%7%8.1% fair5¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 4720 h ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Trevor8.1%Polymarket 7%(8.1% fair)polled, 4720 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
- Contract
- Trevor
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 8.1%
- As of
- Polled 196 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:

- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- MINHxDYNASTY
- Prodzy
- Jim Parillo
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Who will win the Legend Trade Series?". MINHxDYNASTY last traded at 16.7%. Next is Prodzy at 15.6%. $52K has traded across 8 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Apr 16, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Legend Trade Series, currently scheduled for April 16, 2026. If multiple traders are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the trader whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is canceled, postponed after April 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the event organizer, Legend Trade (legend.trade). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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