The Prediction Markets

"Wildwood" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 3 days
Traded
$892K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 45 99%

Next is Above 50 at 99%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 45
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 45
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$137K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 50
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$68K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 55
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 55
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$76K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 60
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 60
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$34K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 65
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 70
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 80
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$85K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$106K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 11 more outcomes
Above 92
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 92
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 94
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 94
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$41K
Trade this on Kalshi
94+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
94+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Polymarket
92+
98.8%
Polymarket 98.8%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
92+
Last price
98.8%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$784
Trade this on Polymarket
90+
98.7%
Polymarket 98.7%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
98.7%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99.9¢
Sell Yes
97.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
85+
98.5%
Polymarket 98.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 99.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
85+
Last price
98.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
99.6¢
Sell Yes
97.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$100 (1.00x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Polymarket
96+
97%
Polymarket 96.9%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 97%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
96+
Last price
96.9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
98.8¢
Sell Yes
95¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$37K
Trade this on Kalshi
Outcome ranges differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 95¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 97¢.

Above 96
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 96
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Kalshi
98+
81.8%
Polymarket 81%polled, 4 min agoKalshi 82%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
98+
Last price
81%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
80¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above 97
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Kalshi
Outcome ranges differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 82¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 82¢.

Above 98
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 98
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
53¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$49K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 99
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 99
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Kalshi

No cross-venue arbitrage right now: on every matched outcome, the best bid on one venue is at or below the cheapest ask on the other. Find markets with open spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above 50' = 51+); Polymarket rungs are inclusive ('50+'). Rungs are linked only when equal after that normalisation (Kalshi 'Above 95' = Polymarket '96+'); most ladders are offset by one point. Both read the Tomatometer at the same time.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rotten Tomatoes
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above 50' = 51+); Polymarket rungs are inclusive ('50+'). Rungs are linked only when equal after that normalisation (Kalshi 'Above 95' = Polymarket '96+'); most ladders are offset by one point. Both read the Tomatometer at the same time.
  • Trading closes Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 26, 2026, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 45
  • Above 50
  • Above 55

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 45 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for ""Wildwood" Rotten Tomatoes Score?". Above 45 leads at 99%. Next is Above 50 at 99%. $892K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for Wildwood is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on October 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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