The Prediction Markets

Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open?

Closed
May 24, 2022
Traded
$39K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on May 24, 2022. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

  • Polymarket

No outcome is trading right now. Check back when the venues reopen this market.

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: rolandgarros.com

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open?". $39K has traded across 0 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on May 24, 2022.

The 2022 French Open (also known as Roland-Garros) is a major tennis tournament held over two weeks, from May 22 to June 5, 2022, at the Stade Roland-Garros in Paris, France, on outdoor clay courts. World No. 2 Daniil Medvedev is a favorite to win the title. His presence at the 2022 French Open, however, is uncertain due to a recent surgery, the ongoing Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and the fact that he signed up to play at the Libema Open, which starts the day after the French Open final. This is a market on whether Daniil Medvedev will play at least one point in the French Open for the Men's Singles Tournament. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniil Medvedev plays at least one point in the 2022 French Open. For example, if Daniil Medvedev wins one point during a match in the 2022 French Open and the score is 15-0, or loses one point and the score is 0-15, then this will suffice to resolve the market to "Yes." The market cannot resolve to "Yes" until Medvedev has actually played a point. This market will resolve to “No” if the first round of the 2022 French Open starts and Daniil Medvedev is not listed as a participant in any matches. If Medvedev is listed as a participant but does not play a single point, the market will also resolve to "No". If the 2022 French Open has not started by June 15, 2022, 12:00, the market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Open (presently found at https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/), however credible media sources will also suffice.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets