The Prediction Markets

Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul?

Closed
Jun 6, 2021
Traded
$72K
Venues
Polymarket
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Jun 6, 2021. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

  • Polymarket

No outcome is trading right now. Check back when the venues reopen this market.

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Will Floyd Mayweather KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul? ". $72K has traded across 0 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Jun 6, 2021.

This is a market on whether Floyd Mayweather will KO, TKO, or retire Logan Paul, in their exhibition boxing match, scheduled to take place on June 6, 2021 at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Floyd Mayweather KOs, TKOs, or retires Logan Paul during their exhibition boxing match. For this market, “KOs, TKOs, or retires Logan Paul” will be considered any of the following: (1) a true knockout, where Mayweather delivers a legal blow or series of legal blows, such that Paul falls to the canvas and cannot make the count, causing the fight to be stopped early, (2) a technical knockout, where Mayweather delivers a legal blow or series of legal blows such that the referee intervenes to stop the fight early to protect Paul’s safety, (3) failing to answer to the bell, where Mayweather delivers a legal blow or series of legal blows throughout the match, such that Paul does not rise for the opening bell for a round, due to, for example, doctor stoppage, retirement from the match, ("throwing in the towel”). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. In the event of ambiguity in terms of the market outcome, this market will be resolved in good faith at the sole discretion of the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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