The Prediction Markets

Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

100M 95.4%

Next is 150M at 53.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
100M
95.4%
Polymarket 95.4%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 98.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
100M
Last price
95.4%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
98.7¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$521
Trade this on Polymarket
150M
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
150M
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: defillama.com

How the odds have moved

The top 2 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 100M
  • 150M

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Will fomo fees hit ___ in 2026?". 100M leads at 95.4%. Next is 150M at 53.5%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if fomo Wallet's finalized cumulative fees reported by DefiLlama are equal to or greater than the listed value as of any date between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Cumulative fees as of a given date are the "Fees" value shown when hovering over that date on the fees chart with "C" (Cumulative) selected; the "Cumulative Fees" value displayed under Key Metrics additionally includes the current, unfinalized date. A daily datapoint must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next day's datapoint is published, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure is finalized, or once all relevant data through December 31, 2026 has been finalized without the listed value having been met. If any data remains unpublished or unfinalized 2 calendar days (ET) after December 31, 2026 — for any reason, including unavailability of the resolution source — this market will resolve to "No". No substitute data source will be used. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after such data is first released to allow for corrections; this applies only to clerical or similar errors, not to DefiLlama differing from other sources. Otherwise, once fomo Wallet's finalized cumulative fees have met or exceeded the listed value, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent revisions. The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the fees data published for fomo Wallet at https://defillama.com/protocol/fees/fomo-wallet, as presented there without additional rounding.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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