The Prediction Markets

Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$6K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 h ago
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What the markets expect

December 31, 2027 51%

Next is September 30, 2027 at 42%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
December 31, 2027
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
December 31, 2027
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$47
Trade this on Polymarket
September 30, 2027
42%
Polymarket 42%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
September 30, 2027
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
June 30, 2027
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
June 30, 2027
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket
March 31, 2027
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
March 31, 2027
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$91
Trade this on Polymarket
December 31, 2026
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
December 31, 2026
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$869
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: x.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • December 31, 2027
  • September 30, 2027
  • June 30, 2027

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by ___?". December 31, 2027 leads at 51%. Next is September 30, 2027 at 42%. $6K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hyperliquid officially implements KYC requirements for users by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". KYC is defined as a mandatory identity verification process — including but not limited to submission of legal name, government-issued ID, proof of address, or biometric verification — required for users to access core trading functionality on Hyperliquid (spot, perpetuals, or HyperCore). The requirement must be implemented by Hyperliquid itself, by the Hyperliquid Foundation, by Hyperliquid Labs, or via the official Hyperliquid frontend (app.hyperliquid.xyz) or any official successor frontend. Frontend-level KYC at app.hyperliquid.xyz qualifies regardless of whether the underlying Hyperliquid protocol remains permissionlessly accessible via direct contract interaction or third-party frontends. KYC enforced solely by third-party frontends, wallets, or fiat on-ramp partners does not qualify. Geofencing or IP-based restrictions alone do not qualify — the requirement must involve identity collection. Optional KYC offered in exchange for enhanced features (higher limits, lower fees, access to additional assets) does not qualify if base trading functionality remains accessible without verification. A pilot, beta, or rollout limited to a specific jurisdiction (e.g. US users only) does qualify, provided KYC is live and enforced for the targeted user group and the rollout is officially confirmed by Hyperliquid. An announcement, policy proposal, or governance vote without live enforcement does not qualify. Once KYC is live and enforced for at least one qualifying user cohort, this market will resolve to "Yes" — a subsequent reversal or rollback does not change resolution. If Hyperliquid announces KYC but does not enforce it on at least one live user cohort by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is official communications from Hyperliquid (https://x.com/HyperliquidX), the Hyperliquid Foundation, or the Hyperliquid Policy Center, corroborated by credible news sources.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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