The Prediction Markets

Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by...?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 39 days
Traded
$563K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Big Sean 98%

Next is Offset at 97%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Big Sean
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Big Sean
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Offset
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Offset
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lil Baby
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Baby
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Anuel AA
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Anuel AA
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Megan Thee Stallion
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
Contract
Megan Thee Stallion
Last price
94%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Aug 1, 2027
93.5%
Kalshi 93.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Aug 1, 2027
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Oct 1, 2027
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Oct 1, 2027
Last price
92%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Jun 1, 2027
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Jun 1, 2027
Last price
84%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$527
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Apr 1, 2027
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Before Apr 1, 2027
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
79¢
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Polo G
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Polo G
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 74 more outcomes
Before Feb 1, 2027
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 2 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Before Feb 1, 2027
Last price
70%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
70¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ice Spice
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Spice
Last price
57%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$900
Trade this on Kalshi
2 Chainz
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
2 Chainz
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Post Malone
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Post Malone
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Morgan Wallen
48.5%
Kalshi 48.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Morgan Wallen
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
EsDeeKid
46%
Kalshi 46%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
EsDeeKid
Last price
46%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rauw Alejandro
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rauw Alejandro
Last price
45%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
sombr
44%
Kalshi 44%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
sombr
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Calvin Harris
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Calvin Harris
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
PinkPantheress
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
PinkPantheress
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ozuna
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ozuna
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$58
Trade this on Kalshi
Roddy Ricch
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Roddy Ricch
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$249
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Dec 1, 2026
38.3%
Kalshi 15%polled, 2 min agoKalshi 67%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Dec 1, 2026
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Before Dec 1, 2026
Last price
67%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kali Uchis
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kali Uchis
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Marías
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Marías
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bryson Tiller
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bryson Tiller
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
John Mayer
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
John Mayer
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Leon Thomas
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leon Thomas
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$169
Trade this on Kalshi
Olivia Dean
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Olivia Dean
Last price
33%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
December 31
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
December 31
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
21 Savage
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
21 Savage
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lana Del Rey
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lana Del Rey
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
blink-182
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
blink-182
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
NF
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
NF
Last price
31%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$504
Trade this on Kalshi
Coldplay
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Coldplay
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ed Sheeran
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ed Sheeran
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$212
Trade this on Kalshi
Mariah Carey
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mariah Carey
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
SZA
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
SZA
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lil Wayne
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Wayne
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Pharrell Williams
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pharrell Williams
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lola Young
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lola Young
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Playboi Carti
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Playboi Carti
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Travis Scott
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Travis Scott
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chappell Roan
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chappell Roan
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jay-Z
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jay-Z
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
USHER
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
USHER
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daniel Caesar
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daniel Caesar
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
Addison Rae
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Addison Rae
Last price
21%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$906
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Jan 1, 2027
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Jan 1, 2027
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kendrick Lamar
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kendrick Lamar
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rihanna
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rihanna
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Dua Lipa
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dua Lipa
Last price
19%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bad Bunny
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bad Bunny
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Bieber
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Bieber
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Clairo
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Clairo
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Kalshi
Fall Out Boy
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fall Out Boy
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
ROSALÍA
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
ROSALÍA
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Weeknd
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Weeknd
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Eminem
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eminem
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Khalid
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Khalid
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shawn Mendes
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shawn Mendes
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Doja Cat
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Doja Cat
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Linkin Park
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Linkin Park
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$519
Trade this on Kalshi
PARTYNEXTDOOR
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
PARTYNEXTDOOR
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sabrina Carpenter
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lil Nas X
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lil Nas X
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$456
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyler, The Creator
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler, The Creator
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Billie Eilish
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Billie Eilish
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$26K
Trade this on Kalshi
Daft Punk
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Daft Punk
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$172
Trade this on Kalshi
Grimes
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Grimes
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicki Minaj
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicki Minaj
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Frank Ocean
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frank Ocean
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Migos
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Migos
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Geese
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Geese
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Maroon 5
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maroon 5
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$147
Trade this on Kalshi
Childish Gambino
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Childish Gambino
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$209
Trade this on Kalshi
November 30
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
November 30
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$703
Trade this on Polymarket
Sia
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sia
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tate McRae
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tate McRae
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Nov 1, 2026
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Nov 1, 2026
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Timberlake
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Timberlake
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Before Oct 24, 2026
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Before Oct 24, 2026
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Benson Boone
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Benson Boone
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rüfüs Du Sol
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rüfüs Du Sol
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
31¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$323 (3.23x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Spotify, Spotify

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Big Sean
  • Offset
  • Lil Baby

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Big Sean for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by...?". Big Sean leads at 98%. Next is Offset at 97%. $563K has traded across 84 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lana Del Rey officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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