The Prediction Markets

Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?

Closes
Jan 2, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$78K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
3 min ago
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What the markets expect

Yes 43.4%

Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Yes 43.4%No 56.6%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Yes
43.4%
Polymarket 43.4%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yes
Last price
43.4%
As of
Polled 3 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
37.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$78K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The leading outcome on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Yes

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover Yes and No across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? ". Yes leads at 43.4%. $78K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point during calendar year 2026, any of the following occurs: 1. LIV Golf publicly announces that its league operations have permanently ended, ceased, or been discontinued; or 2. LIV Golf publicly announces that it will permanently stop holding league events and that the league will not continue in its current form or any successor competitive form under the LIV Golf name; or 3. LIV Golf cancels or abandons the remainder of its 2026 season and publicly confirms that no further LIV Golf league events will be held and that league operations will not resume; or 4. LIV Golf is dissolved, liquidated, or merged, absorbed, or restructured into another organization in a manner that results in LIV Golf no longer existing as an operating standalone professional golf league and no longer holding its own branded competitions Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying public announcement during 2026 that LIV Golf will permanently cease league operations will count for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the announced cessation goes into effect. Temporary suspensions, pauses, schedule reductions, event postponements, format changes, restructurings, ownership changes, or mergers/acquisitions in which LIV Golf continues operating as a subsidiary, division, or continuing branded league will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from LIV Golf; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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