The Prediction Markets

Will Paper Rex keep both f0rsakeN and Jinggg for 2027?

Closes
Apr 1, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
4 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Yes 54.5%

Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Yes 54.5%No 45.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Yes
54.5%
Polymarket 54.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Yes
Last price
54.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: liquipedia.net

How the odds have moved

The leading outcome on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Yes

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Cover Yes and No across venues

Loading every outcome’s book…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Will Paper Rex keep both f0rsakeN and Jinggg for 2027?". Yes leads at 54.5%. $1K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Apr 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at the start of Paper Rex's first official match of the 2027 VALORANT Champions Tour (VCT) season, both f0rsakeN and Jinggg are on Paper Rex's active VALORANT roster and neither has been officially announced as a substitute or reserve for the 2027 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official match is a match in a VCT competition, such as VCT Kickoff, a VCT international league, Masters, or Champions. Showmatches and third-party tournaments do not count. A listed player is considered to have left if they are officially removed from Paper Rex's active roster before that match, including through a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, a loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup, as reflected in the roster table on Paper Rex's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Paper_Rex). If Paper Rex officially announces before that match that f0rsakeN or Jinggg will be a substitute or reserve rather than part of its starting lineup for the 2027 season, this market will resolve to "No". A departure or substitute announcement officially made by Paper Rex or the player before that match counts even if the resolution source is updated after the match. Changes involving other players do not affect this market. A listed player missing a match while remaining on the active roster (for example, due to illness or visa issues, with a temporary stand-in) does not count as leaving. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not count. If Paper Rex has not played an official 2027 VCT match by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether both f0rsakeN and Jinggg are on Paper Rex's active roster on Liquipedia at that time. If Paper Rex disbands or no longer fields a VALORANT roster before then, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Paper_Rex); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More other markets

See all other markets