Top of book
ConnectingWaiting for the first live quote…
Yes 10.4%
Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 9 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
The leading outcome on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
Each venue’s resting orders for the Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Waiting for the first live quote…
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
Loading both order books…
Loading every outcome’s book…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back?". Yes leads at 10.4%. $90K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber Technologies, Inc. invites Travis Kalanick to return to the company in any formal role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying invitation refers to a definitive request, offer, or solicitation by Uber for Travis Kalanick to assume a formal role within the company. Qualifying roles include any official position at Uber Technologies, Inc., including but not limited to executive roles, advisory roles, or membership on the company’s Board of Directors. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if Travis Kalanick joins Uber Technologies, Inc. in any formal role during the market’s timeframe, even if the invitation or request from Uber was not publicly disclosed. Speculation, rumors, or discussions about a potential return will not qualify unless Uber definitively invites Travis Kalanick to return or Travis Kalanick actually joins the company in a qualifying role. Partnerships, investments, or business relationships between Uber and companies founded, owned, or operated by Travis Kalanick will not qualify unless Travis Kalanick himself assumes a formal role within Uber. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements or filings from Uber Technologies, Inc.; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.